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Thursday, October 30, 2008
Poll: Likud 25-26 Kadima 22-23 Labor 16-17

Poll: Likud 25-26 Kadima 22-23
Dr. Aaron Lerner Date 30 October 2008

Telephone poll of a representative sample of adult Israelis (including
Israeli Arabs) carried out by Shvakim Panorama for Israel Radio's Hakol
Diburim (It's All Talk) 29 October 2008.

Please note:

29.8% undecided.

The outcome shown below shows a range based on two models:
#1 Seats based only on the 70.2% who indicated who they would vote for
#2 Seats based on allocating the undecided vote based on their background -
including: party they voted for in the last elections, self identification
between "right" and "left", positions expressed on various issues that make
it possible to identify the ideological position of the respondent and/or
socio-demographic profile.

22-23 [29] Kadima headed by Livni
16-17 [19] Labor
25-26 [12] Likud
11-12 [12] Shas
10-11 [11] Yisrael Beteinu
07-08 [09] Nat'l Union/NRP
06-07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah
05-06 [05] Meretz
02-03 [00] Green Party
00-01*[00] Social Justice (Gaydamak Party)
01-02*[07] Retirees Party
09-10 [10] Arab parties
* does not get minimum votes for Knesset representation

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il
Website: http://www.imra.org.il

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