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Sunday, November 2, 2008
Cirrection 3 polls Likud 25-31 Kadima 22-31, Israelis oppose negotiating Jerusalem 55%:36%

3 polls with different results for Likud Kadima and Labor, Israelis oppose
negotiating Jerusalem 55%:36%
Dr. Aaron Lerner Date 31 October 2008

Poll #1 Telephone poll of a representative sample of adult Israelis
(including
Israeli Arabs) carried out by Shvakim Panorama for Israel Radio's Hakol
Diburim (It's All Talk) 29 October 2008.29.8% undecided.
The outcome shown below shows a range based on two models:
#1 Seats based only on the 70.2% who indicated who they would vote for
#2 Seats based on allocating the undecided vote based on their background -
including: party they voted for in the last elections, self identification
between "right" and "left", positions expressed on various issues that make
it possible to identify the ideological position of the respondent and/or
socio-demographic profile.

Poll #2 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 501 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Smith Consulting Shvakim 29
October 2008 and published in The Jerusalem Post on 31 October.

Poll #3 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 490 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Dialog poll under the supervision
of Prof. Camil Fuchs of Tel Aviv University on 28 October 2009 published in
Haaretz on 31 October

--#1-- #2 #3
22-23 27 31 [29] Kadima headed by Livni
16-17 14 10 [19] Labor
25-26 27 31 [12] Likud
11-12 11 10 [12] Shas
10-11 11 11 [11] Yisrael Beteinu
07-08 09 03 [09] Nat'l Union/NRP
06-07 06 06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah
05-06 05 05 [05] Meretz
02-03 ** 02 [00] Green Party
00-01*** ** [00] Social Justice (Gaydamak Party)
01-02*** ** [07] Retirees Party
09-10 10 11 [10] Arab parties
* does not get minimum votes for Knesset representation

Additional Poll#3 questions:

Did Netanyahu learn from the mistakes he made as prime minister?
Yes 49% No 34% Don't know 17%

Did Barak learn from the mistakes he made as prime minister?
Yes 25% No 55% Don't know 20%

Who is responsible for the failure of the negotiations to form a government?
Livni 29% Shas 37% Both same extent 9% don't know 25%

Should negotiations with the Palestinians include the issue of Jerusalem?
Yes 36% No 55% Don't know 9%

Which candidate is most appropriate to be prime minister?
Netanyahu 38% Livni 30% Barak 9%

Which candidate for prime minister will best handle the following:
Economy: Netanyahu 45% Livni 22% Barak 8%
Security: Netanyahu 33% Livni 14% Barak 26%
Diplomatic process: Netanyahu 32% Livni 29% Barak 10%

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il
Website: http://www.imra.org.il

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