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Thursday, November 20, 2008
3 polls Likud 32-34, Kadima 23-28, Labor 8-10

3 polls Likud 32-34, Kadima 23-28, Labor 8-10
Dr. Aaron Lerner Date 20 November 2008

Poll #1 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 536 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute
(headed by
Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Radio's Hakol Diburim (It's All Talk) 19
November 2008.28% undecided with undecided allocated proportionally.

Poll #2 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 500 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Dahaf 19 November 2008 and
published in Yediot Ahronot on 20 November.

Poll #3 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 488 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Dialog poll under the supervision
of Prof. Camil Fuchs of Tel Aviv University on 18 November 2009 published in
Haaretz on 20 November

#1 #2 #3
23 26 28 [29] Kadima headed by Livni
08 08 10 [19] Labor
34 32 34 [12] Likud
13 11 10 [12] Shas
10 09 10 [11] Yisrael Beteinu
07 06 04 [09] "Jewish Home" (previously Nat'l Union/NRP)
05 07 06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah
10 07 07 [05] Meretz
01 03 00 [00] Green Party
00 00 00 [00] Social Justice (Gaydamak Party)
00 00 00 [07] Retirees Party
09 11 11 [10] Arab parties
00 00 00 [00] Meimad
00 00 00 [00] Strong Israel (Efraim Sneh)
00 00 00 [00] Hatikvah (Eldad)

Additional Poll#1 Maagar Mohot details crosstabilation

How would vote today according to who voted for in 2003:
Column #1 = voted Labor in 2003
Column #2 = voted Likud in 2003
Column #3 = voted Kadima in 2003
Column #4 = total sample

For example, 26% of those who voted for Kadima in 2003 will vote for Likud
now.
While 6% of people who voted Likud in 2003 don't know how they wil vote, 21%
of those who voted Likud in 2003 haven't decided how to vote.

#1--- #2-- #3-- #4
28% 13% 33% 14% Kadima headed by Livni
37% 00% 10% 05% Labor
02% 67% 26% 20% Likud
00% 04% 03% 08% Shas
02% 04% 03% 06% Yisrael Beteinu
00% 02% 00% 04% "Jewish Home" (previously Nat'l Union/NRP)
00% 00% 00% 03% Yahadut Hatorah
06% 02% 04% 06% Meretz
00% 00% 00% 01% Green Party
00% 00% 00% 00% Social Justice (Gaydamak Party)
00% 02% 00% 00% Retirees Party
00% 00% 00% 05% Arab parties
00% 00% 00% 00% Meimad
00% 00% 00% 00% Strong Israel (Efraim Sneh)
00% 00% 00% 00% Hatikvah (Eldad)
25% 06% 21% 28% Don't know

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il
Website: http://www.imra.org.il

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