About Us

IMRA
IMRA
IMRA

 

Subscribe

Search


...................................................................................................................................................


Saturday, November 22, 2008
3 polls Likud 32-34, Kadima 23-28, Labor 8-10 [Twice as many people claim voted Likud in last elections than did]

3 polls Likud 32-34, Kadima 23-28, Labor 8-10
Dr. Aaron Lerner Date 22 November 2008

Poll #1 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 536 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute
(headed by
Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Radio's Hakol Diburim (It's All Talk) 19
November 2008.28% undecided with undecided allocated proportionally.

Poll #2 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 500 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Dahaf 19 November 2008 and
published in Yediot Ahronot on 20 and 21 November.

Poll #3 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 488 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Dialog poll under the supervision
of Prof. Camil Fuchs of Tel Aviv University on 18 November 2009 published in
Haaretz on 20 and 21 November

#1 #2 #3
23 26 28 [29] Kadima headed by Livni
08 08 10 [19] Labor
34 32 34 [12] Likud
13 11 10 [12] Shas
10 09 10 [11] Yisrael Beteinu
07 06 04 [09] "Jewish Home" (previously Nat'l Union/NRP)
05 07 06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah
10 07 07 [05] Meretz
01 03 00 [00] Green Party
00 00 00 [00] Social Justice (Gaydamak Party)
00 00 00 [07] Retirees Party
09 11 11 [10] Arab parties
00 00 00 [00] Meimad
00 00 00 [00] Strong Israel (Efraim Sneh)
00 00 00 [00] Hatikvah (Eldad)

Additional Poll#1 Maagar Mohot details cross tabulation

How would vote today according to who voted for in 2006:
Column #1 = voted Labor in 2006
Column #2 = voted Likud in 2006
Column #3 = voted Kadima in 2006
Column #4 = total sample

For example, 26% of those who voted for Kadima in 2006 will vote for Likud
now.
While 6% of people who voted Likud in 2006 don't know how they will vote,
21%
of those who voted Kadima in 2006 haven't decided how to vote.

#1--- #2-- #3-- #4
28% 13% 33% 14% Kadima headed by Livni
37% 00% 10% 05% Labor
02% 67% 26% 20% Likud
00% 04% 03% 08% Shas
02% 04% 03% 06% Yisrael Beteinu
00% 02% 00% 04% "Jewish Home" (previously Nat'l Union/NRP)
00% 00% 00% 03% Yahadut Hatorah
06% 02% 04% 06% Meretz
00% 00% 00% 01% Green Party
00% 00% 00% 00% Social Justice (Gaydamak Party)
00% 02% 00% 00% Retirees Party
00% 00% 00% 05% Arab parties
00% 00% 00% 00% Meimad
00% 00% 00% 00% Strong Israel (Efraim Sneh)
00% 00% 00% 00% Hatikvah (Eldad)
25% 06% 21% 28% Don't know

Poll #2 Dahaf additional questions:

Who is most appropriate for the position of prime minister?
Netanyahu 35% Livni 35% Barak 9%

Who is most appropriate for the position of defense minister?
Yaalon 28% Mofaz 26% Barak 23%

Why did Begin, Meridor and Yaalon join the Likud?
47% Likud leading in the polls
18% Believe Netanyahu changed

If it turns out that Olmert isn't indicted by the time of the elections was
it justified to advance the elections?
Yes 54% No 36%

Of those voting Kadima, voting Kadima because of path or because count on
Livni?
Path 20% Livni 58%

Of those voting Likud, voting Likud because of path or because count on
Netanyahu?
Path 36% Netanyahu 47%

Of those voting Likud, did you decide to support the Likud after Begin,
Meridor and Yaalon joined?
Before 83% After 13%

Of those voting Labor, voting Labor because of path or because count on
Barak?
Path 50% Barak 38%

Poll #3 additional Dialog questions:

Of the following who cares more about the problems of the citizens of
Israel?
Livni 25% Netanyahu 24% Barak 5%

What is the most important issue that the new government will have to deal
with?
45% Economic crises
36% Peace process
13% Nuclear Iran

To what extent is each of the following appropriate to be prime minister?
Netanyahu: Yes 50% No 45% Don't know 5%
Livni: Yes 44% No 49% Don't know 7%
Barak: Yes 21% No 72% Don't know 7%

Who do you think will be the next prime minister?
Netanyahu 43% Livni 24% Barak 5%

Who would you like to be the next prime minister?
Netanyahu 28% Livni 24% Barak 6%

If a new group is formed with Meretz and people who used to be in Labor
would you vote for it?
Total: Yes 12% No 73%
Labor voters: Yes 33% No 39%
Meretz voters: Yes 38% No 21%
[Interesting result - Meretz would lose 21% of those planning to vote for it
if they join into a larger group that they lead.]

What party did you vote for in the last elections?
the % who actually voted for the party in the last elections is in
[brackets]
25% [29%] Kadima
25% [12%] Likud
20% [19%] Labor
07% [11%] Yisrael Beteinu
03% [07%] Retirees party
According to these results, it would appear that half the people who claim
they voted for the Likud in the last elections are not telling the pollsters
the truth.

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il
Website: http://www.imra.org.il

Search For An Article
....................................................................................................

Contact Us

POB 982 Kfar Sava
Tel 972-9-7604719
Fax 972-3-7255730
email:imra@netvision.net.il IMRA is now also on Twitter
http://twitter.com/IMRA_UPDATES

image004.jpg (8687 bytes)