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Thursday, December 11, 2008
Four polls: Likud ahead of Kadima by 3 - 14 seats, National-Religious bloc 62-69 seats

Four polls: Likud ahead of Kadima by 3 - 14 seats, National-Religious bloc
62-69 seats
Dr. Aaron Lerner - IMRA 11 December 2008

Column # 1 Telephone poll of a representative sample of adult Israelis
(including Arab Israelis) carried out by Shvakim Panorama for Israel Radio's
Hakol Diburim
(It's All Talk) 10 December 2008. Results show range based on allocating the
seats according to the 85.6% who said what party they would vote for and
alternatively allocating the "undecided" according to their "right-left"
self identification and socio-demographic profile.

Column # 2 Telephone poll of a representative sample of adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Teleseker on 10 December 2009 and
published in Maariv on 11 December.

Column # 3 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 488 adult Israeli
Jews (the Arabs were not polled because it is a Moslem holiday - their
results were assumed to be unchanged from previous poll) carried out by
Dialog poll under the supervision of Prof. Camil Fuchs of Tel Aviv
University on 9 December 2009 - the day after the primaries - and published
in Haaretz on 10 December

Column # 4 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 503 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Dahaf on 9 December 2009 - the day
after the Likud primaries - and published Yediot Ahronot on 10 December.

Results expressed in Knesset seats. Current Knesset in [brackets]

--#1-- #2 #3 #4
20-21 28 27 24 [29] Kadima headed by Livni
14-15 12 12 11 [19] Labor
34-35 31 36 31 [12] Likud
12-12 09 09 11 [12] Shas
11-11 11 09 10 [11] Yisrael Beteinu
04-04 06 04 06 [09] "Jewish Home" (previously Nat'l Union/NRP)
07-07 05 06 07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah
06-06 05 06 07 [05] Meretz
00-00 03 00 03 [00] Green Party
00-00 00 00 00 [00] Social Justice (Gaydamak Party)
00-00 00 00 00 [07] Retirees Party
09-10 10 11 10 [10] Arab parties
00-00 00 00 00 [00] Meimad
00-00 00 00 00 [00] Strong Israel (Efraim Sneh)
00-00 00 00 00 [00] Hatikvah (Eldad)

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