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Wednesday, December 31, 2008
Poll: support for Kadima returns to pre-operation level Kadima 25 Labor 15 Likud 31

Poll: support for Kadima returns to pre-operation level Kadima 25 Labor 15
Likud 31
Dr. Aaron Lerner Date 31 December 2008

Before operation: "Right" 66 seats "Left" 45 seats Arabs 9 seats
On second day of operation "Right" 57 seats "Left" 53 seats Arabs 10 seats
On fourth day of operation "Right" 61 seats "Left" 49 seats Arabs 10 seats

Poll #1 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 505 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute
(headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 2 "Mishal
Cham" program 30 December 2008 - 4th day of operation in Gaza.

Poll #2 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 502 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute
(headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 10 during
the day of Sunday 28 December 2008 - the second day of the operation in
Gaza.

Poll #3 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 511 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute
(headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 2 "Mishal
Cham" program 23 December 2008
[19% undecided/other replies .]

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

#1 #2 #3
25 28 25 [29] Kadima headed by Livni
15 16 11 [19] Labor
31 30 31 [12] Likud
10 10 12 [12] Shas
10 10 13 [11] Yisrael Beteinu
04 02 05 [??] "Jewish Home" (previously NRP)
01 00 00 [??] National Union (reconstituted)
05 05 05 [06] Yahadut Hatorah
05 07 06 [05] Meretz
02 01 01 [00] Green Party
00 00 00 [00] Social Justice (Gaydamak Party)
02 01 02 [07] Retirees Party
10 10 09 [10] Arab parties
00 00 00 [00] Meimad
00 00 00 [00] Strong Israel (Efraim Sneh)
00 00 00 [00] Hatikvah (Eldad)

If the IDF operation in Gaza continues a number of weeks should Knesset
elections be postponed or held on 10 February as set?
Total: Hold elections 48% Postpone 37% Don't know/Other replies 15%
According to how planning to vote in 2009 elections:
Labor: Hold elections 46% Postpone 40% Don't know/Other replies 14%
Kadima:Hold elections 45% Postpone 40% Don't know/Other replies 15%
Likud:Hold elections 63% Postpone 24% Don't know/Other replies 13%

Who is most appropriate as minister of defense?
30.12 poll: Barak 46% Mofaz 15% Yaalon 15% Don't know/Other replies 24%
23.12 poll: Barak 23% Mofaz 23% Yaalon 24% Don't know/Other replies 30%

Is Prime Minister Ehud Olmert handling the war in Gaza today better or worse
than he managed the Second Lebanon War?
Worse 7% No significant difference 9% Better 64% Don't know/Other replies
20%

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il
Website: http://www.imra.org.il

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