Poll: 70%:20% continue battle, Labor 17 Likud 32 Meretz 6 Nat'l Union 2 up,
Kadima 25 unchanged
Dr. Aaron Lerner Date 7 January 2009

Before operation: "Right" 66 seats "Left" 45 seats Arabs 9 seats
On second day of operation "Right" 57 seats "Left" 53 seats Arabs 10 seats
On fourth day of operation "Right" 61 seats "Left" 49 seats Arabs 10 seats
6 January "Right" 63 seats "Left" 48 seats Arabs 9 seats

Poll #1 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 514 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute
(headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 2 "Mishal
Cham" program 6 January 2009.

Poll #2 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 505 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute
(headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 2 "Mishal
Cham" program 30 December 2008 - 4th day of operation in Gaza.

Poll #3 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 502 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute
(headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 10 during
the day of Sunday 28 December 2008 - the second day of the operation in
Gaza.

Poll #4 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 511 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute
(headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 2 "Mishal
Cham" program 23 December 2008
[19% undecided/other replies .]

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

#1 #2 #3 #4
25 25 28 25 [29] Kadima headed by Livni
17 15 16 11 [19] Labor
32 31 30 31 [12] Likud
10 10 10 12 [12] Shas
10 10 10 13 [11] Yisrael Beteinu
04 04 02 05 [03] "Jewish Home" (previously NRP)
02 01 00 00 [06] National Union (reconstituted)
05 05 05 05 [06] Yahadut Hatorah
06 05 07 06 [05] Meretz
00 02 01 01 [00] Green Party
00 00 00 00 [00] Social Justice (Gaydamak Party)
00 02 01 02 [07] Retirees Party
09 10 10 09 [10] Arab parties
00 00 00 00 [00] Meimad
00 00 00 00 [00] Strong Israel (Efraim Sneh)

[The biggest shift is among Kadima and Likud supporters]

If the IDF operation in Gaza continues a number of weeks should Knesset
elections be postponed or held on 10 February as set?

6 January
Total: Hold elections 40% Postpone 41% Don't know/Other replies 19%
30 December
Total: Hold elections 48% Postpone 37% Don't know/Other replies 15%

According to how planning to vote in 2009 elections:
6 January
Labor: Hold elections 41% Postpone 35% Don't know/Other replies 24%
30 December
Labor: Hold elections 46% Postpone 40% Don't know/Other replies 14%
6 January
Kadima:Hold elections 33% Postpone 53% Don't know/Other replies 14%
30 December
Kadima:Hold elections 45% Postpone 40% Don't know/Other replies 15%
6 January
Likud:Hold elections 41% Postpone 45% Don't know/Other replies 14%
30 December
Likud:Hold elections 63% Postpone 24% Don't know/Other replies 13%

Should the IDF continue the battle in Gaza or has the time come for a
ceasefire?
6 January Continue 70% Ceasefire 20% Other replies 10%
30 December Continue 81% Ceasefire 10% Other replies 9%

Results for 6 January according to how planning to vote in 2009 elections
Labor: Continue 59% Ceasefire 23% Other replies 18%
Kadima: Continue 82% Ceasefire 10% Other replies 8%
Likud: Continue 94% Ceasefire 3% Other replies 3%

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il
Website: http://www.imra.org.il