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Friday, January 16, 2009
Three Polls: Likud 28-29, Kadima 21-2, Israel not using excessive military force 82%:13%

Three Polls: Likud 28-29, Kadima 21-2, Israel not using excessive military
force 82%:13%
Dr. Aaron Lerner Date 16 January 2009

Poll #1 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 800 adult Israelis
(including Arab Israelis) carried out by Teleseker TNS for Maariv on 15
January 2009.
Published in Maariv on 16 January.

Poll #2 Telephone poll of a representative sample of adult Israelis
(including Arab Israelis) carried out by Shvakim Panorama for Israel Radio's
Hakol Diburim (It's All Talk) 14 January 2009. 18.4% were undecided.

Poll #3 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 561 adult Israelis
(including Arab Israelis) carried out by Dialog for Haaretz 13 January 2009
and published on 16 January.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

#1 #2 #3
26 21 25 [29] Kadima headed by Livni
17 15 16 [19] Labor
28 28 29 [12] Likud
09 10 09 [12] Shas
14 15 12 [11] Yisrael Beteinu
05 07 06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah
05 05 07 [05] Meretz
03 03 03 [03] "Jewish Home" (previously NRP)
03 03 03 [06] National Union
10 10 08 [10] Arab parties
00 03 02 [00] Green Party
00 00 00 [00] Social Justice (Gaydamak Party)
00 00 00 [07] Retirees Party
00 00 00 [00] Meimad
00 00 00 [00] Strong Israel (Efraim Sneh)

Additional questions from Poll #1 Telephone poll of a representative sample
of 800 adult Israelis (including Arab Israelis) carried out by Teleseker TNS
for Maariv on 15 January 2009. Published in Maariv on 16 January.

What should Israel do now among the following three options:
[Option of holding Philadelphi Corridor not offered]
7.9% Cease fire and seek diplomatic solution
36.1% Continue fighting without expansion while seeking a diplomatic
arrangement at the same time that will assure a stop to the rocket fire
53.1% Continue battle and expand it by introducing additional forces until
the complete destruction of military capability
2.8% Don't know

What grade would you give for the military operation?
Very good 82.1% Good 11.6%
Middle 3.5%
Bad 0.5% Very bad 0.9%
Don't know 1.4%

What grade would you give to the diplomatic activities?
Very good 25.5% Good 34.9%
Middle 26.4%
Bad 4.3% very bad 6.5%
Don't know 2.4%

What grade would you give to the civil defense activities?
Very good 58.3% Good 20.2%
Middle 13.8%
Bad 3..9% very bad 2.3%
Don't know 1.6%

Additional questions Poll #3 Telephone poll of a representative sample of
561 adult Israelis
(including Arab Israelis) carried out by Dialog for Haaretz 13 January 2009
and published on 16 January.

Is the operation in Gaza a success or failure?
Success 78% Failure 9% Don't know 13%

Is Israel using excessive military force?
Yes 13% No 82% Don't know 5%

Satisfied with the performance of:
PM Olmert: Yes 46% No 39%
DM Barak: Yes 70% No 20%
FM Livni Yes 51% No 34%
Opposition head Netanyahu: Yes 48% No 34%

What should Israel do now?
[Option of holding Philadelphi Corridor not offered]
17% Seek cease fire
42% Continue fighting until reach satisfactory diplomatic arrangement
33% Expand ground operation
8% Don't know

Should the elections be postponed?
Yes 48% No 43% Don't know 9%

Will you vote in the elections?
Certain yes 63% Think yes 20% Think no 7% Certain no 7% Don't know 3%

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il
Website: http://www.imra.org.il

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