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Monday, January 19, 2009
Poll: 50%:36% oppose ceasefire, Likud 31 Kadima 23 Labor 15

Poll: 50%:36% oppose ceasefire, Likud 31 Kadima 23 Labor 15

Dr. Aaron Lerner Date 18 January 2009

Before operation: "Right" 66 seats "Left" 45 seats Arabs 9 seats
On second day of operation "Right" 57 seats "Left" 53 seats Arabs 10 seats
On fourth day of operation "Right" 61 seats "Left" 49 seats Arabs 10 seats
6 January "Right" 63 seats "Left" 48 seats Arabs 9 seats
13 January "Right" 62 seats "Left" 48 seats Arabs 10 seats
18 January after ceasefire: "Right" 65 seats "Left" 46 seats Arabs 9 seats

Poll #1 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 512 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute
(headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 2 News
program on 18 January 2009, the first day of the ceasefire and broadcast on
the evening news program.

Poll #2 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 506 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute
(headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 2 "Mishal
Cham" program 13 January 2009.

Poll #3 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 514 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute
(headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 2 "Mishal
Cham" program 6 January 2009.

Poll #4 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 505 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute
(headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 2 "Mishal
Cham" program 30 December 2008 - 4th day of operation in Gaza.

Poll #5 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 502 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute
(headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 10 during
the day of Sunday 28 December 2008 - the second day of the operation in
Gaza.

Poll #6 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 511 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute
(headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 2 "Mishal
Cham" program 23 December 2008
[19% undecided/other replies .]

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

#1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6
23 26 25 25 28 25 [29] Kadima headed by Livni
15 16 17 15 16 11 [19] Labor
31 28 32 31 30 31 [12] Likud
12 10 10 10 10 12 [12] Shas
13 14 10 10 10 13 [11] Yisrael Beteinu
03 03 04 04 02 05 [03] "Jewish Home" (previously NRP)
01 02 02 01 00 00 [06] National Union (reconstituted)
05 05 05 05 05 05 [06] Yahadut Hatorah
06 06 06 05 07 06 [05] Meretz
01 00 00 02 01 01 [00] Green Party
00 00 00 00 00 00 [00] Social Justice (Gaydamak Party)
01 00 00 02 01 02 [07] Retirees Party
09 10 09 10 10 09 [10] Arab parties
00 00 00 00 00 00 [00] Meimad
00 00 00 00 00 [00] Strong Israel (Efraim Sneh)
* 1 seat is not enough to get into the Kensset as need 2% of valid votes.

Do you support the ceasefire in Gaza that was presented yesterday by the
prime minister and minister of defense?
Oppose 50% Support 36% Other replies 14%

Will the operation in Gaza bring an end to the firing and bring quiet to the
South?
No 55% Yes 27% Other replies 18%

Should the fighting continue in Gaza until the release of Gilad Shalit?
No 24% Yes 61% Other replies 15%

Who is the most appropriate candidate today for the position of prime
minister?
Barak 14% Livni 21% Netanyahu 36% Other replies 29%

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il
Website: http://www.imra.org.il

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