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Wednesday, January 28, 2009
Poll: Likud 34 Kadima 22 Labor 13 Yisrael Beiteinu 16 "Right" 70 seats

Poll: Likud 34 Kadima 22 Labor 13 Yisrael Beiteinu 16
Dr. Aaron Lerner Date 28 January 2009

Before operation: "Right" 66 seats "Left" 45 seats Arabs 9 seats
On second day of operation "Right" 57 seats "Left" 53 seats Arabs 10 seats
On fourth day of operation "Right" 61 seats "Left" 49 seats Arabs 10 seats
6 January "Right" 63 seats "Left" 48 seats Arabs 9 seats
13 January "Right" 62 seats "Left" 48 seats Arabs 10 seats
18 January after ceasefire: "Right" 65 seats "Left" 46 seats Arabs 9 seats
21 January after ceasefire: "Right" 66 seats "Left" 45 seats Arabs 9 seats
27 January after ceasefire: "Right" 70 seats "Left" 40 seats Arabs 10 seats

Poll #1 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 529 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute
(headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 2 "Mishal
Cham" program 27 January 2009. 20% of respondents did not say what party
they would vote for.

Poll #2 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 522 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute
(headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 2 "Mishal
Cham" program 20 January 2009.

Poll #3 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 512 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute
(headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 2 News
program on 18 January 2009, the first day of the ceasefire and broadcast on
the evening news program.

Poll #4 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 506 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute
(headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 2 "Mishal
Cham" program 13 January 2009.

Poll #5 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 514 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute
(headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 2 "Mishal
Cham" program 6 January 2009.

Poll #6 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 505 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute
(headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 2 "Mishal
Cham" program 30 December 2008 - 4th day of operation in Gaza.

Poll #7 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 502 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute
(headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 10 during
the day of Sunday 28 December 2008 - the second day of the operation in
Gaza.

Poll #8 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 511 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute
(headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 2 "Mishal
Cham" program 23 December 2008
[19% undecided/other replies .]

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

#1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 #7 #8
22 22 23 26 25 25 28 25 [29] Kadima headed by Livni
13 14 15 16 17 15 16 11 [19] Labor
34 30 31 28 32 31 30 31 [12] Likud
10 11 12 10 10 10 10 12 [12] Shas
16 16 13 14 10 10 10 13 [11] Yisrael Beteinu
03 02 03 03 04 04 02 05 [03] "Jewish Home" (previously NRP)
05 05 05 05 05 05 05 05 [06] Yahadut Hatorah
05 07 06 06 06 05 07 06 [05] Meretz
00 00 01 00 00 02 01 01 [00] Green Party
00 00 01 00 00 02 01 02 [07] Retirees Party
10 09 09 10 09 10 10 09 [10] Arab parties
00 01 00 00 00 00 00 00 [00] Meimad
00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 [00] Strong Israel (Efraim Sneh)
02 02 01 02 02 01 00 00 [06] National Union (reconstituted)
00 01 00 00 00 00 00 00 [00] Green Leaf (legalize marijuana)
* 1 seat is not enough to get into the Knesset as need 2% of valid votes.

Do you think that the State of Israel is ripe today to elect a woman for
prime minister?
Total: No 30% Yes 50% Other replies 20%
Vote Labor: No 15% Yes 69% Other replies 16%
Vote Kadima: No 5% Yes 89% Other replies 6%
Vote Likud: No 41% Yes 45% Other replies 14%
Vote Ultra-Orthodox: No 67% Yes 14% Other replies 19%
Vote Right: No 32% Yes 26% Other replies 42%

[Ultra Orthodox = Shas + Yahadut Hatorah]
[Right = Yisrael Beiteinu + "Jewish Home+National Union ]

Who would you prefer today as prime minister: Netanyahu, Barak or Livni?
Total: Barak 14% Livni 24% Netanyahu 41% Other replies 21%
Vote Labor: Barak 81% Livni 12% Netanyahu 0% Other 7%
Vote Kadima: Barak 5% Livni 91% Netanyahu 2% Other 2%
Vote Likud: Barak 0% Livni 1% Netanyahu 96% Other 3%
Vote Ultra-Orthodox Barak 5% Livni 0% Netanyahu 57% Other 38%
Vote Right: Barak 0% Livni 8% Netanyahu 68% Other 24%

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il
Website: http://www.imra.org.il

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