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Wednesday, February 4, 2009
PCPO Poll of Palestinians: Hamas gained from Gaza war, support rocket attacks against Israel now 39.3%:27.2%, "militant resistance" fulfilled its task

08) What is your attitude to the firing of rockets at present on Israel
from Gaza?
18.5% 1. Strongly favour
20.8% 2. Favour
33.5% 3. Undecided
14.3% 4. Oppose
12.9% 5. Strongly oppose

09) To which extent do you think the militant resistance has fulfilled its
task during the Israeli aggression on Gaza Strip?
40.1% 1. To a great extent
33.3% 2. To a middle extent
23.9% 3. To a small extent
02.7% 4. I don't know

PCPO Poll No.167 Date: 04.Feb.2009

The most recent poll prepared by Dr. Nabil Kukali revealed that:

(72.0 %) evaluated their economic situation as 'bad'.
(34.1 %) believe that Hamas has won the Gaza war.
(54.4 %) hold Israel responsible for the war that recently flamed in Gaza.
(43.5 %) believe that Hamas' power has increased after the Gaza war.
(40.6 %) are in favor of Fateh, (31.4 %) of Hamas.
(61.2 %) oppose the deployment of multinational (UN) forces in Gaza Strip.
(46.0 %) propose for the present the formation of a national unity
government.
(57.8 %) were in favor of the participation of Khaled Misha'l and some
factions' heads in the Doha's Summit Conference.
(51.3 %) of the Palestinians are of the opinion that Hamas is navigating
the
country towards the wrong direction, (46 %) believe Fateh
is doing that.

Beit Sahour - The Information Bureau:

In the most recent poll prepared by Dr. Nabil Kukali, being conducted during
the period January 25th to January 31st 2009 and published by the
Palestinian Center for Public Opinion (PCPO), a random sample of (673)
Palestinian adults (over 18 years old) representing the various demographic
specimens in the Palestinian society in the West Bank, including East
Jerusalem, and Gaza Strip, were face to face interviewed.

The most important finding of this poll is that the overwhelming majority of
the Palestinians, (88.2 %), are for the present in favor of a
Palestinian-Israeli truce, specifically (86.1 %) in Gaza Strip and (89.6 %)
in the West Bank. Dr. Kukali further commented the outcome of the poll
saying that the rate of support for Fateh (40.6 %) among the Palestinians
lies now higher than that for Hamas (31.4 %). The rate of Fateh's popularity
in Gaza Strip, established at (42.5 %), lies much higher than that of Hamas
on its own terrain, reaching namely the rate of (27.8 %). The same trend has
been found in the West Bank, where Fateh scored (39.2 %) of the
Palestinians' support, whilst Hamas has to content itself with only (23.7
%).

In addition, Dr. Kukali said that the majority of the Palestinian people,
( 54.1 %), believe that none of the parties involved won the war recently
blazed in Gaza. This rate consists of (34.7 %) from Gaza Strip and (66.3 %)
from the West Bank. Dr. Kukali pointed out that (56 %) of the residents of
Gaza Strip believe that Hamas is navigating the country towards the wrong
direction, whilst (48.3 %) of the Palestinians in the West Bank believe
that. Regarding the inauguration of the new US-president Barak Obama, (41.7
%) of the Palestinian public have a positive opinion of him as they hope
that Mr. Obama will undertake practical and serious measures to achieve
peace in the Middle East region.

Dr. Nabil Kukali said the results of the poll where as follows:

01) How would you assess nowadays your attitude or support to Hamas?
25.9% 1. My support increased
12.8% 2. My support decreased
14.1% 3. My support remained unchanged
47.2% 4. My attitude remained unchanged. I'm not a Hamas supporter

02) How would you assess nowadays your attitude or support to Fateh?
19.4% 1. My support increased
16.3% 2. My support decreased
28.5% 3. My support remained unchanged
35.8% 4. My attitude remained unchanged. I'm not a Fatah supporter

03) Do you think, in general, that Hamas is navigating our country in the
right or in the wrong direction ?
41.7% 1. In the right direction
51.3% 2. In the wrong direction
7.0% 3. I Don't know (DON'T READ)

04) Do you think, in general, that Fateh is navigating our country in the
right or in the wrong direction?
46.0% 1. In the right direction
46.0% 2. In the wrong direction
8.0% 3. I Don't know (DON'T READ)

05) Who should, in your opinion, be held responsible for the recent war in
Gaza?
07.6% 1. Fateh
14.5% 2. Hamas
54.4% 3. Israel
04.8% 4. Egypt
04.8% 5. Iran
00.7% 6. Syria
13.0% 7. US
00.2% 8. EU

06) Who, in your opinion, won the war that recently blazed in Gaza Strip?
10.5% 1. Israel
34.1% 2. Hamas
01.3% 3. Fateh
54.1% 4. Nobody

07) Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way President Mahmoud
Abbas (Abu Mazen) is handling his job as PA president?
28.7% 1. Satisfied
48.8% 2. Dissatisfied
22.5% 3. Refuse to answer

08) What is your attitude to the firing of rockets at present on Israel
from Gaza?
18.5% 1. Strongly favour
20.8% 2. Favour
33.5% 3. Undecided
14.3% 4. Oppose
12.9% 5. Strongly oppose

09) To which extent do you think the militant resistance has fulfilled its
task during the Israeli aggression on Gaza Strip?
40.1% 1. To a great extent
33.3% 2. To a middle extent
23.9% 3. To a small extent
02.7% 4. I don't know

10) Do you think, after the war in Gaza . (READ THE LIST) has gained or
lost power? How would you assess at present this power?
(Gained:Lost)
37.7%:35.3% 1. Israel
43.5%:26.8% 2. Hamas
25.5%:22.3% 3. Fateh
22.9%:26.3% 4. The Palestinian Authority
21.3%:38.1% 5. Mahmoud Abbas
41.6%:30.3% 6. Khaled Mish'al

11) Some people in the West Bank and Gaza Strip were in favor of the
participation of Khaled Mish'al and some factions' heads in the Doha's
Summit Conference. Others opposed that. Which of the following opinions is
closer to yours?
57.8% 1. I was in favor of the participation of Khaled Mish'al and some
factions' heads.
24.6% 2. I opposed their participation
17.6% 3. I don't know

12) What do you think, after the Gaza war, would be the best solution to
the Palestinian people ?
21.1% 1. To return to the negotiation table with Israel
46.0% 2. To form a government of national unity
37.0% 3. To conduct new presidential and PLC elections
01.2% 4. To affiliate Gaza Strip to Egypt
03.7% 5. To call UN forces to take over the responsibility in Gaza Strip

13) I'm going to read to you a list of groups, organizations,
institutions or individuals. Please tell me for each group, organization,
institution or individual I read whether you have a very favorable opinion,
a somewhat favorable opinion, a somewhat unfavorable opinion or a very
unfavorable opinion.
(Favorable:Unfavorable)
50.2%:49.8% 1. PA President "Abu Mazen"
50.0%:50.0% 2. Head of Hamas, "Khaled Mish'al
63.7%:36.3% 3. Prime Minister, "Salam Fayyad"
55.9%:44.1% 4. Head of the deposed government, "Ismael Haniyyeh"
62.8%:37.2% 5. PLO Secretary, "Yassir Abed-Rabbu"
41.7%:58.3% 6 .The new US-President, "Barak Obama"
87.3%:12.7% 7. Al-Jazeera TV-station
82.4%:17.6% 8. Al-Arabiyya TV-sation
82.0%:18.0% 9. Doha Summit Conference
77.6%:22.4% 10. Kuwait Summit Conference

14) Are you in favor of deploying multinational (UN) forces in Gaza Strip,
or not? (READ 1-4).
06.4% 1. Strongly favor
31.1% 2. Somewhat favor
28.6% 3. Somewhat oppose
32.6% 4. Strongly oppose
01.3% 5. I don't know

15) Please mention the name of the Palestinian organization, party,
movement or faction you are in favor of / or consider yourself on of its
supporters .
OPEN QUESTION.
40.6% 1. Fatah
31.3% 2. Hamas
05.4% 3. The popular front for the liberation of Palestine (PFLP)
02.7% 4. The Islamic jihad
01.8% 5. The Palestinian National Initiative
01.3% 6. The democratic front of the liberation of Palestine (DFLP)
00.9% 7. People's party
00.7% 8. FIDA
05.8% 9. Independents
05.0% 10. Refused
08.8% 11. None of the above

16) If, with the consent of all political powers and parties, new
presidential elections would be conducted. For whom would you vote to be
the President of the Palestinian Authority ? OPEN QUESTION.
15.8% 1. Ismael Haniyyeh
14.4% 2. Marwan Al-Barghouthi
12.6% 3. Mahmoud Abbas
09.2% 4. Yassir Abed-Rabbu
08.9% 5. Khaled Misha'l
04.4% 7. Mohammed Dahlan
04.1% 8. Mustafa Al-Barghouthi
03.6% 9. Salam Fayyad
03.5% 10. Aziz El-Duwaik
03.3% 11. Mahmoud El-Zahhar
02.2% 12. Ahmad Sa'adat
02.1% 13. Ramadan Shallah
00.8% 14. Qais Abed-Alkareem
00.6% 15. Munib Al-Masre
00.6% 16. Saeb Ereikat
00.2% 17. Bassam Al-Salhi
05.5% 18. Independent
01.6% 19. Hamas Candidate
00.8% 20. Fatah Candidate
03.5% 21. None of the above
02.3% 22. I don't know

17) What is your attitude towards a Palestinian-Israeli cease-fire at
present? (READ 1-4)
49.3% 1. Strongly favor
38.9% 2. Somewhat favor
05.8% 3. Somewhat oppose
04.0% 4. Strongly oppose
01.9% 5. I don't know

18) Do you strongly favor, somewhat favor, somewhat oppose or strongly
oppose peace negotiations between the Palestinians and the Israelis?

20.0% 1. Strongly favor
53.6% 2. Somewhat favor
11.5% 3. Somewhat oppose
12.7% 4. Strongly oppose
02.2% 5. I don't know

19) Who, do you think, is the best party to bear the responsibility for the
reconstruction of Gaza Strip? (READ 1-2).
36.2% 1. Salam Fayyad's government
37.4% 2. The deposed government of Ismael Haniyyeh
26.4% 3. Otherwise, please specify:

20) In view of the political and economic situations prevailing nowadays in
the Palestinian Territories, are you optimistic or pessimistic about the
future? (READ 1-2).
61.2% 1. Pessimistic
33.9% 2. Optimistic
04.9% 3. Don't know

21) How would you assess the general economic situation in the Palestinian
Territories?
Is it (READ 1-3)
02.8% 1. Good
24.7% 2. Mediocre
72.0% 3. Bad
00.5% 4. I don't know

22) Up to which extent are you worried at present about the subsistence of
your family?
(READ 1-4).
40.7% 1. Too much worried
40.7% 2. Worried
12.1% 3. Not so much worried
04.6% 4. No worried at all
01.9% 5. Don't know

23) What is your main concern at present?
28.6% 1. The job / money
40.5% 2. The security
11.5% 3. The health
19.4% 4. The future

24) Given an assessment scale from (1) to (10), where (1) stands for "very
much dissatisfied" and (10) for "very much satisfied", how would you assess
your satisfaction or dissatisfaction, in general, with the life you're
living?

Answer from (1) to (10): The outcome was in average: 3.61

25) Now think of the future, and particularly when your children become in
your age. Do you think there would be peace between Israelis and
Palestinians? (READ 1-5).
02.4% 1. Yes, definitely
14.4% 2. Yes, likely
16.5% 3. Peace is possible
23.3% 4. Unlikely
40.8% 5. Definitely, No
02.6% 6. Don't know

Methodology of the Survey Study:

Mr. Elias Kukali, a staff member of the Research and Studies' Section at the
PCPO, said that all interviews of this survey were conducted inside the
respondents' homes, i.e. face-to-face during different working hours, at
least 5 hours a day, including the evening time, in order to ensure proper
representation of those sub-groups of the population, which would otherwise
be difficult to reach and selecting one individual in each household using
Last Birthday Method. The choices were taken from a total of (150 election
sites, from which (110 sites are located in West Bank and (40) sites in Gaza
Strip according to the distribution of the Central Election Commission.
These election sites were randomly chosen by using the method of the simple
random sample. These in turn were the beginning of the random sample choice
made from those regions in accordance with PCPO's long experienced
methodology.

Mr. E. Kukali has further established that the margin of error was (3.78)at
a significance and confidence levels of (5%) and (95%) respectively. He
added that the rate of the female respondents in this survey was (49.8%)
against (50.2%) male respondents. The distribution of the random sample
between the Palestinian two major regions was (61.5%) in the West Bank,
including East Jerusalem, and (38.5%) in Gaza Strip, and allocated as
follows: (49.6%) for the towns, (31.6%) for the villages and (18.4%) for the
camps

Contact Persons: Dr. Nabil Kukali & Elias Kukali
Tel: 00970 2 277 4846, Fax: 00970 2 277 4892
Mobile: 00970 599 726 878
P.O. Box 15, Beit Sahour - Palestine
Email: kukali@p-ol.com
Website: www.pcpo.ps

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