7 Polls: Likud ahead of Kadima 1-8 seats Yisrael Beteinu 16-21 seats
Dr. Aaron Lerner Date 5 February 2009
Poll #0 Limited to 100% certain voting + allocation of the undecided in
accordance with their leanings. Telephone poll of a representative sample
of 582 adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot
Survey Institute (headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz 4-5 February for Makor
Rishon
Poll #1 Panels internet poll of 1,498 internet participants for Channel 2 on
5 February
Poll #2 Telephone poll of a representative sample of adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Geocartography 4 February for
Globes and published on 5 February.
Poll #3 Telephone poll of a representative sample of adult Israelis
(including Arab Israelis) carried out by Shvakim Panorama for Israel Radio's
Hakol Diburim (It's All Talk) 4 February 2009. .
Poll #4 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 972 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by New Wave 3-4 February for
Yisrael Hayom and published on 5 February.
Poll #5 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 600 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Geocartography 2 February for
Globes and published on 4 February.
Poll #6 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 700 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by TNS Teleseker 2 February for
Maariv and published on 4 February.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets].
#0 #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6
24 25 22.5 21 24 21.0 23 [29] Kadima headed by Livni
13 14 15.5 16 16 17.0 17 [19] Labor
27 26 26.0 25 30 24.5 27 [12] Likud
10 10 10.0 11 09 11.0 10 [12] Shas
18 18 20.5 16 17 17.0 17 [11] Yisrael Beteinu
03 03 02.0 04 02 02.0 03 [03] "Jewish Home" (previously NRP)
06 05 05.0 07 05 05.0 05 [06] Yahadut Hatorah
05 06 05.0 05 06 08.5 06 [05] Meretz
01 00 00.0 00 00 00.0 00 [00] Green Party
01 00 00.0 02 00 02.0 00 [07] Retirees Party
09 09 08.0 09 08 06.0 08 [10] Arab parties
01 00 00.0 00 00 00.0 00 [00] Meimad
00 00 00.0 00 00 00.0 00 [00] Strong Israel (Efraim Sneh)
02 04 06.0 04 03 06.0 04 [06] National Union (reconstituted)
00 00 00.0 00 00 00.0 00 [00] Green Leaf (legalize marijuana)
* 1 seat is not enough to get into the Knesset as need 2% of valid votes.
** 24.5 = 24-25, 8.5 = 8-9
Poll #0 Limited to 100% certain voting + allocation of the undecided in
accordance with their leanings. Telephone poll of a representative sample
of 582 adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot
Survey Institute (headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz 4-5 February for Makor
Rishon
Political orientation of the undecided: Right 39% Center 41% Left 20%
Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il
Website: http://www.imra.org.il
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