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Tuesday, September 8, 2009
Settlement freeze may be permanent if amorphous requirements met

Dr. Aaron Lerner - IMRA:

So the settlement freeze will be extended if I we get some minor gestures
from Arab countries that we have already had in the past and - here is the
big requirement for the Palestinians: something is done about incitement.

Why the cynicism about making incitement the litmus test?

Take a look at the article for a hint: "The official said Israel expected
that in return for the moratorium there would be an end to incitement
against Israel in the PA media and education system - although a way of
measuring this still needed to be worked out."

Repeat: "a way of measuring this still needed to be worked out".

Been there. Done that.

When Prime Minister Ariel Sharon wanted to keep his buddy Uri Dan busy so he
wouldn't be tempted to share his misgivings over Sharon's policies with the
public, he appointed him the "Anti-Incitement Committee". Dan seized the
opportunity to meet with Palestinian officials and complain about
Palestinian incitement. He got nowhere. Which is no surprise since none of
the people before him and none of the Israelis after him got anywhere in
what amounted to nothing more than a debating society since it was
impossible to come up with a workable measurable definition of incitement.

Consider the following: Which is worse? An inciting item in a Palestinian
school book or unfriendly remarks in a pamphlet distributed in some
synagogues?

So when the Netanyahu team focuses on what anyone who knows the history of
Oslo knows is a profoundly unenforceable requirement you have to wonder:

Either:

#1. They don't remember.
#2. They are fooling themselves.
#3. They are trying to fool us.

Which is worse?
====

'Settlement freeze will last 6 months'
HERB KEINON and TOVAH LAZAROFF , THE JERUSALEM POST Sep. 8, 2009
www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1251804514211&pagename=JPArticle%2FShowFull

A moratorium on new construction in the settlements, expected in the wake of
Monday's announcement of 455 newly approved housing units in the West Bank,
will last for six months, with an extension dependent on whether the
Palestinian Authority and neighboring Arab countries step up to the plate
and deliver what is expected of them, a senior political official told The
Jerusalem Post on Monday.

The official's comment came a week before Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu
is scheduled to meet with US Mideast envoy George Mitchell to discuss the
US-brokered package that is expected to lead to a renewal of negotiations
with the Palestinians.

Netanyahu spoke to the official over the past few days and explained both
the sudden approval of the 455 homes and the soon-to-be-announced
moratorium.

The new construction plans in the settlements, which were announced on
Monday morning, included 149 apartments for Har Gilo, 12 for Alon Shvut, 89
in Ma'aleh Adumim, 84 in Modi'in Illit, 76 in Givat Ze'ev, 25 in Kedar and
20 in Maskiot, as well as a sports park in Ariel and a school in Har Adar.

Mitchell is expected to arrive on Saturday night for two days of high-level
meetings in Jerusalem.

At a Ma'aleh Adumim rally on Monday, MK Uri Ariel (National Union) said that
the Construction and Housing Ministry had issued an order not to make any
more plans for Jewish housing in east Jerusalem.

But political officials said that in addition to the six-month moratorium,
Netanyahu would reiterate to Mitchell that Jerusalem will not be included,
and that public buildings in the settlements will be approved where
necessary to enable normal life to continue.

The official said Israel expected that in return for the moratorium there
would be an end to incitement against Israel in the PA media and education
system - although a way of measuring this still needed to be worked out - as
well as significant normalization steps from the Arab world.

If these steps were not forthcoming, the source intimated, the construction
moratorium would end.

Israel, according to the official, expected a number of Arab countries -
such as Morocco, Qatar and Oman - to renew their former low-level presences
in Israel, as well as allow for educational and cultural exchanges, and for
Israeli airline flights over their territory.

The prime minister's plans to please the settlers, the US and the
Palestinians, did not mollify anyone.

The Americans and the Palestinians continued to publicly demanded an
immediate and total freeze.

"Given the choice between making peace and making settlements, they have
chosen to make settlements," chief Palestinian negotiator Saeb Erekat said.

White House spokesman Robert Gibbs responded on Monday by referring to an
earlier statement criticizing the Israeli plans and calling for a
construction halt.

Right-wing politicians, including Likud MKs, Israel Beiteinu's National
Infrastructures Minister Uzi Landau and Knesset speaker Ruby Rivlin
criticized Netanyahu's plan to approve new permits and then impose a freeze
on any additional ones.

Danny Dayan, the head of the Council of Jewish Communities of Judea, Samaria
and the Gaza Strip, accused Netanyahu of trying to pull the wool over
everyone's eyes with the new permits - the first ones that Netanyahu has
issued since taking office in March.

According to the Prime Minister's Office and Peace Now, no construction
permits for Jewish communities in Judea and Samaria have been issued since
November 2008.

"It has no real political or practical significance. The negative impact of
the freeze that will follow the approval of the 455 units is tenfold greater
than the somewhat positive approval of these units," said Dayan.

"By the way, most of them are recycled plans that were already approved by
former prime minister [Ehud] Olmert," he said.

"It is quite pathetic that the 2,500 units that this government is going to
finish are units that Olmert built. The only thing that is new and
attributable to this government is the freeze; that is regrettable," Dayan
said.

Hagit Ofran of Peace Now agreed that there was little new in what Defense
Minister Ehud Barak had approved.

Still, Peace Now's executive director Yariv Oppenheimer lashed out at the
plan. Netanyahu failed in his attempt "to go on a diet," because when it
comes to settlement construction, "he is eating a big meal," said
Oppenheimer.

All that has happened with the talk of approving new construction permits
and then freezing them is that settlers can continue to build apartment
units this year at the same pace as last year, he said.

Oppenheimer noted that settlers would be able to finish the 2,500 apartment
units now under way in the settlements as well as start 455 additional
units.

Out of the approvals, the two which have the most impact, according to
Ofran, are in Har Gilo and Maskiot.

Built in 1972, the Har Gilo settlement had only 462 residents in 2007. The
approval of 149 new apartment units there more than doubles the size of the
settlement, which is an enclave within a populated Palestinian area.

The authorization of 20 new homes in Maskiot marks the first residential
building in that area, said Ofran.

Although the site, located in the northern Jordan Valley, was authorized as
a settlement in the mid-1980s, no families lived there on a permanent basis
until 2008, when eight moved in. Six families lived in new modular homes and
another two in structures that belong to the pre-army yeshiva, also housed
on that site.

The construction of 20 new homes was the government's backhanded way of
creating a new settlement, a move that skirted its international obligations
and promises, Ofran said.

AP contributed to this report.

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