Poll No. 172 Date: August 30, 2010,
The most recent poll prepared by Dr. Nabil Kukali, conducted and published
by the Palestinian Center for Public Opinion revealed that:
Around one- third (31.7 %) of the Palestinian public are in favor of
starting the direct negotiations, (31.1 %) are in favor of continuing the
indirect talks and
(31.1 %) plead for the freeze of the negotiations.
An overwhelming majority (86.7 %) of the Palestinians oppose the political
options proposed by the former Israeli Minister of Defense, Moshe Ahrens.
An overwhelming majority (90.7 %) of the Palestinian people oppose the call
of the present Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs, Avigdor Lieberman, to
have Gaza Strip annexed to Egypt.
A clear majority (79.4 %) of the Palestinian public believe that the visit
of the US-envoy, George Mitchell, will not lead to any progress in the peace
process.
Two thirds of the Palestinians do not believe that the US-President Barack
Obama is capable of establishing a Palestinian state.
More than half of the Palestinians prefer the two-state solution, a State of
Israel and a State of Palestine side by side, rather than the solution of
the bi-national state.
Beit Sahour - Public Relations Section:
The most recent poll prepared by Dr. Nabil Kukali, conducted and published
by the Palestinian Center for Public Opinion (PCPO) during the period from
August 2 to 10, 2010, covered a random sample of (1010) respondents
representing the various demographic specimens of adult Palestinians (18
years and above) living in the West Bank, including East Jerusalem, and Gaza
Strip. The poll revealed the different perspectives of the Palestinians
regarding the negotiations with Israel. Only one third of the Palestinians,
specifically (31.7 %), are in favor of starting the direct negotiations with
Israel, whilst another third (31.1 %) are for the continuation of the
indirect talks, and the last third, namely (31.1 %) plead for the freeze of
the negotiations.
Dr. Nabil Kukali, founder and Director-General of the Palestinian Center for
Public Opinion, said that the majority of the Palestinians, almost two
thirds, are in favor of negotiating with the Israelis, regardless of
whether direct or indirect talks. "This indicates clearly", Dr. Kukali said
"that the Palestinian people chose the strategy of peace". He continued that
the Palestinians are by nature optimistic people, who are longing for peace
whatever the obstacles they encounter might be. Dr. Kukali further added
that the Palestinians do hope to reach an agreement that puts an end to the
weary occupation and establish their own independent state. He noted that
the Palestinians expect through the direct negotiations with Israel to
receive a substantial support from the Arab and Islamic states as well as an
increased international pressure on Israel and its exposure, for that is the
only way that would force Israel to give up its obstinacy. Dr. Kukali
suggested that Israel should prove to the world its commitment to peace by
accepting the negotiations on core issues such as the final borders, future
of Jerusalem and the Palestinian refugees and to show good intentions to the
conclusion of a peace agreement with the Palestinians before the end of
2011. He indicated that the success of negotiations will largely depend on
the extent of resolve of the US-President, Barack Obama, and his
administration in exerting a real pressure on the Israeli side. "Without
this", Dr. Kukali said, "Netanyahu would not respond to any just and final
demands".
Nevertheless, a considerable majority of the Palestinian public, precisely
two thirds (66.0 %), feel that the US-President is incapable of establishing
a Palestinian state, and that four from five Palestinians believe that the
visits made by the US-envoy, George Mitchell, would not lead to any progress
in the peace process. Despite this pessimistic prognosis, Dr. Kukali pleads
that all the Palestinians should support the Palestinian negotiator, improve
the negotiation atmosphere and reactivate the power elements that back him
(the Palestinian negotiator) rather than uttering accusations and placing
obstacles.
In conclusion, Dr. Kukali said that the overwhelming majority of the
Palestinian people positively evaluated the attitude of the Palestinian PM,
Dr. Salam Fayyad, in combating corruption, in the issues of security and
reform.
Dr. Nabil Kukali said the results of the poll were as follows:
Press sources mentioned that the former Israeli Minister of Defense Moshe
Ahrens called for a review of political options to the current situation,
breach of realities in the Israeli policy , annex of the West Bank to Israel
and granting its population the Israeli citizenship. Do you support this or
not?
Yes, I support it 10.5% No, I object it 86.7% DK (Don't Read) 2.8%
The present Israeli Foreign Minister, Avigdor Lieberman, called for the
transformation of Gaza Strip into a separate entity cut off the Palestinian
Territories and to burden Egypt with the responsibility for it. Do you
support or oppose this?
Yes, I support it 7.2% No, I object it 90.7% DK (Don't Read) 2.1%
The United States seeks presently through its envoy to the peace process,
George Mitchell, to urge both parties, the Palestinians and the Israelis, to
hold direct negotiations. What would you recommend the Palestinian
leadership to do now? (Read 1 - 3).
To accept the direct negotiations 31.7 % To resume the indirect negotiations
31.7%
To halt the negotiations 31.1% Don't know / refuse 5.5%
The US-envoy for the peace process to the Middle East, George Mitchell, is
paying these days a visit to the region and holding talks with both, the
Palestinian and Israeli leaderships. Do you believe that his visit would
effect a progress on the pace process, or not? (Read 1 - 2).
Yes 16.0% No 79.4% DK (Don't Read) 4.6%
Do you believe, in general, that the US-President, Mr. Barack Obama, is in a
position to establish a Palestinian state, or not ? (Read 1 - 2).
Yes 32.3% No 65.8% DK (Don't Read) 1.9%
Some people believe that the two-states formula is the preferable solution
to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, while others believe that historic
Palestine cannot be divided into two states, and therefore the preferable
solution for them is one bi-national state all over Palestine, in which
Israelis and Palestinians enjoy equal representation and equal rights. Which
of the two solutions do you prefer? (Read 1-2)
I prefer the two-state solution: an Israeli state and a Palestinian state
54.8%
I prefer the solution of the one bi-national state all over Palestine 26.7%
I prefer another solution 7.6%
There is no solution for this conflict 4.9%
I don't know / Refuse 6.0%
The Palestinian people experienced governments, in which Fateh constituted
the majority of their members, and other governments, in which Hamas
constituted the majority. Now we have a government with a majority of
independents. Which of the above types of government, do you think, would
best serve, based on experience, the interests of the Palestinian people?
A government with a Hamas majority 14.0%
A government with a Fateh majority 33.2%
A government with a majority of independents 47.0%
Don't know / refuse 5.8%
How do you evaluate the performance of Salam Fayyad 's government at present
in the West Bank compared with the performance of the government of the
deposed Prime Minister Ismael Haniyyeh in Gaza. Would you say the
performance of Fayyad's government is better or worse than the performance
of Haniyyeh's government? (Read 1 - 3)
The performance of Fayyad's government is better than that of Haniyyeh's
government 54.4%
The performance of Fayyad's government is equal to that of Haniyyeh's
government 22.8%
The performance of Fayyad's government is worse than that of Haniyyeh's
government 17.0%
I don't know/Refuse 1.7%
Do you think that the present Salam Fayyad's government contributed to the
advance of the reform process in the Palestinian Authority, or to its
retrogression, or has no any influence on the current reform process? (Read
1 - 3)
Contributed to advance the reform process in the PA 57.1%
Contributed to the regress of the reform process in the PA 9.5%
Has no any influence on the current reform process 27.7%
Don't know 4.4%
Refuse to answer 1.3%
In general, do you think that the rate of corruption under the present Salam
Fayyad's government has increased, decreased, or didn't change? (Read 1 - 3)
The rate of corruption has increased 14.4%
The rate of corruption has decreased 52.0%
The rate of corruption didn't change 28.6%
Don't know 4.4%
Refuse to answer 1.3%
In general, do you think that the internal security and safety under the
present Salam Fayyad's government improved, became worse, or remained
unchanged? (Read 1 - 3)
Security and safety improved 43.8% Security and safety became worse 15.5%
Security and safety remained unchanged 35.7% Don't know 3.8%
Refuse to answer 1.3%
12) How would you rate your economic situation in general?
Good 32.7% Mediocre 39.7% Bad 27.6%
13) Up to which extent are you worried at present about the subsistence of
your family ?
Very much worried 27.9% Worried 39.2%
Not so much worried 24.1% Not worried at all 8.7%
Don't know 0.1%
14) What is your main concern at present?
Job/money 43.5% Security 10.6%
Health 15.8 The future 30.0%
Don't know 0.2%
15) Given an assessment scale from (1) to (10), where (1) stands for "very
much dissatisfied" and (10) for "very much satisfied", how would you assess
your satisfaction or dissatisfaction, in general, with the life you're
living?
Answer from (1) to (10): The outcome was in average: 4.46
Methodology of the Survey Study:
Mr. Elias Kukali, a staff member of the Research and Studies' Section at the
PCPO, said that all interviews of this survey were conducted inside the
respondents' homes, i.e. face-to-face during different working hours, at
least five hours a' day, including the evening time, in order to ensure
proper presentation of those sub-groups of the population, which would
otherwise be difficult to reach and selecting one individual in each
household using the Last Birthday Method. The choices were taken from a
total of (156) election sites, from which (117) are located in the West Bank
and (39) sites in Gaza Strip.
Mr. E. Kukali has further established that the margin of error in this poll
was (+- 3.03 %) at a confidence level of (95 %). He added that the rate of
the female respondents in this survey was (49.5 %) and that of the male
respondents was (50.5%) . The distribution of the random sample between the
Palestinian two major regions was (63.8 %) in the West Bank, including East
Jerusalem, and (36.2 %) in Gaza Strip, allocated as follows: (52.2 %) urban
areas, (31.5 %) rural areas and (16.3 %) refugee camps. The average age of
the sample respondents was (34.0) years.
About PCPO:
The Palestinian Center for Public Opinion (PCPO) was founded in February
1994 in Beit Sahour by Dr. Nabil Kukali, who became the director of this
center since that time.
Since that time we are dedicated to the following activities:
1) Conducting public opinion surveys.
2) Omnibus polls and services.
3) Market studies on all kinds of trading activities.
4) Surveys of consumer attitudes, consumption habits, and market shares.
5) Communication researches.
6) Focus group sessions and workshops on various topics.
7) Rendering services in the field of investment, including feasibility
studies.
8) In-depth interviews & brainstorming workshops.
9) Translation services from Arabic into English, German & Hebrew and
vice-versa.
PCPO is now a name for reliability, credibility and experience not only in
Palestine, but all over the world.
Find out more about us, along with the latest polls at www.pcpo.org
Contact Persons: Dr. Nabil Kukali & Elias Kukali
Tel: 00970 2 277 4846, Fax: 00970 2 277 4892
Mobile: 00970 599 726 878
P.O. Box 15, Beit Sahour - Palestine
Email: dr.kukali@pcpo.org
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