16) What is your attitude regarding the re-firing of Al-Qassam rockets from
Gaza at Israel?
Response Percentage
1. I’m strongly in favor of that 13.0%
2. I’m somewhat in favor of that 33.2%
3. I somewhat oppose that 20.7%
4. I strongly oppose that 28.7%
5. I don’t know 4.4%
17) In case all efforts fail to reach a settlement aiming at the revival of
peace, which of the following options is most likely to take place on the
Palestinian side:
Response Percentage
1. Unilateral proclamation of a Palestinian state and escalation of the
violent resistance 31.3%
2. Dissolution of the Palestinian Authority and putting the world before the
responsibilities for the jurisdiction vacuum resulting from the dissolution
of the Palestinian Authority and the steering of the resistance by the
Palestinian factions 34.3%
3. Keep the status quo, i.e. the Palestinian Authority, beside developing
new strategies to conduct the Palestinian affairs 29.7%
4. I don’t know 4.7%
Poll No. 173 November 3, 2010
The most recent poll of the Palestinian Center for Public Opinion, prepared
by its founder and director-general, Dr. Nabil Kukali, revealed that:
(86.7%) of the Palestinians still miss the Late President, Mr. Yasser
Arafat, several years after his departure.
(56.2%) are in favor of signing the Egyptian Reconciliation Document.
(48.2%) believe that the US Congress midterm elections would impact the
peace process.
(56.1%) oppose the resumption of direct talks with the Israeli government in
the background of resuming the construction works in the settlements.
(46.8%) believe that the most frustrating policy conducted by the present US
administration under President Barack Obama is the Israeli-Palestinian
conflict.
(50.9%) trust Fateh leadership and (24.3 %) trust Hamas leadership.
(46.2%) support at various degrees the deployment of multinational UN-forces
in the West Bank and Gaza Strip in case a peace deal would be within reach.
Beit Sahour – Public Relations Section at the Palestinian Center for Public
Opinion.
The most recent poll prepared by Dr. Nabil Kukali, conducted and published
by the Palestinian Center for Public Opinion (PCPO) during the period from
October 22 to 30, 2010, covered a random sample of (1005) respondents
representing the various demographic specimens of adult Palestinians (18
years and above) living in the West Bank, including East Jerusalem, and Gaza
Strip. It has revealed that (56.1 %) of the Palestinians oppose at present
the resumption of direct talks with the Israeli government in the background
of resuming the construction works in the settlements.
Dr. Kukali said that although six years are now elapsed since the departure
of the symbol leader, the Late President Yassir Arafat, the Palestinian
people still miss him and his firm positions and backing. “This could be
attributable to his competence of realigning the powers under his
leadership,� Dr. Kukali added. He further commented that the deep nostalgic
feelings of the Palestinian public towards their Late President unveils the
lack of a leading personality, that may be capable of reuniting the nation.
The poll finding that (56.2%) of the Palestinians are in favor of signing
the Egyptian Reconciliation document is a further reference.
Dr. Kukali expressed the anxiety of a considerable rate of the Palestinian
people, specifically (48.2%), about the expected results of the US Congress
midterm elections, as these would restrict the movement of the US President
Barack Obama in determining the US foreign policy, and particularly those
issues linked to the peace process. Dr. Kukali further said in this respect
that should the President’s party, the Democrats, lose their majority in the
Congress, then Obama’s pressure on Israel would fade away, and consequently
the Republicans, now having gained enough power, would halt any pressures on
Israel. The result would be placing more obstacles on the route of the peace
process that is fully stagnating at the moment.
Dr. Nabil Kukali said the results of the poll were as follows:
1) Do you agree or disagree to the resumption of the direct talks with
the Israeli government in the background of resuming the building works in
the Jewish settlements located in the West Bank after the expiry of the
moratorium by September 26, 2010?
Response Percentage
1. Agree 34.3%
2. Disagree 56.1%
3. Don’t know / Refuse 9.6%
2) Authentic media sources mentioned that a Palestinian – Israeli deal
exists regarding the administration’s transfer of Abu Salem border crossing
to the Palestinian Authority. Do you agree or disagree to the return of the
Palestinian Authority taking-over the administration of this
border-crossing?
Response Percentage
1. Agree 55.5%
2. Disagree 35.4%
3. Don’t know / Refuse 9.1%
3) Are you in favor, or not, of signing the Egyptian Reconciliation
Document by Hamas?
Response Percentage
1. Favor 56.2%
2. Disfavor 29.8%
3. Don’t know / Refuse 14.0%
4) In case a peace deal would be within reach, do you support or oppose
the deployment of multinational UN-forces in the West Bank and Gaza Strip?
Response Percentage
1. Strongly support 13.0%
2. Somewhat support 33.2%
3. Somewhat oppose 20.7%
4. Strongly oppose 28.7%
5. Don’t know 4.4%
5) "Up to which extent, do you think, the US Congress Midterm Elections
would influence the peace process? Would they greatly influence, somewhat
influence, somewhat have no influence, or have no influence at all on the
peace process?"
Response Percentage
1. Greatly influence 29.3%
2. Somewhat influence 18.9%
3. Somewhat have no influence 22.3%
4. Have no influence at all 19.3%
5. Don’t know 10.2%
6) Six years after the departure of the leader Yassir Arafat, do you feel
that you miss him or not?
Response Percentage
1. I strongly miss him 60.3%
2. I somewhat miss him 26.4%
3. I somehow don’t miss him 5.4%
4. I don’t miss him at all 6.3%
5. Don’t know 1.6%
7) Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Mahmoud Abbas is
managinghis post as PA President?
Response Percentage
1. Satisfied 43.2%
2. Dissatisfied 44.7%
3. Don’t know 12.1%
8) How would you describe your attitudes toward the Obama Administration
policy in the Middle East?
Response Percentage
1. Hopeful 15.0%
2. Neither Discouraged nor Hopeful 50.7%
3. Discouraged 34.3%
9) If Iran acquires nuclear weapons, which of the following is the likely
outcome for the Middle East region?
Response Percentage
1. More positive 29.0%
2. Would not matter 37.4%
3. More Negative 33.6%
10) When you look back at the past year of the Obama Administration, which
one of the following policies are you most disappointed with?
Response Percentage
1. Palestine/Israel 46.8%
2. Iraq 13.8%
3. Attitudes toward Islam 18.2%
4. Afghanistan 8.6%
5. Human rights 6.2%
6. Spreading democracy 3.9%
7. Economic assistance 2.5%
11) What are your anticipations of the success chances of the direct
Israeli- Palestinian negotiations? Will they succeed or fail in reaching an
agreement of permanent peace?
Response Percentage
1. Certainly, they will succeed 7.2%
2. They will succeed 42.6%
3. They will fail 31.6%
4. They will surely fail 12.3%
5. No opinion / Don’t know 6.3%
12) Do you expect the realization of a peace agreement between the
Palestinians and the Israelis next year?
Response Percentage
1.Yes 13.5%
2. Likely 58.6%
3. No 26.2%
4. Don’t know 1.7%
13) Do you think the Israelis are concerned about making peace with the
Palestinians?
Response Percentage
1. Yes 16.6%
2. To some extent 46.7%
3. No 34.8%
4. Don’t know 1.9%
14) Are you more optimistic or pessimistic than in the past regarding the
possibility of reaching a final solution accord between Israel and the
Palestinians?
Response Percentage
1. More optimistic than in the past 21.7%
2. Same extent of optimism as in the past 25.6%
3. Same extent of pessimism as in the past 24.3%
4. More pessimistic than in the past 25.9%
5. Don’t know / No attitude 2.5%
15) Some people have confidence in Hamas political leadership, others in
Fateh political leadership, whilst others have no confidence in both
leaderships. Which of the following statements is closer to your opinion?
Response Percentage
1. I have confidence in Hamas leadership 24.3%
2. I have confidence in Fateh leadership 50.9%
3. I have no confidence in both leaderships 21.8%
4. I don’t know 3.5%
16) What is your attitude regarding the re-firing of Al-Qassam rockets from
Gaza at Israel?
Response Percentage
1. I’m strongly in favor of that 13.0%
2. I’m somewhat in favor of that 33.2%
3. I somewhat oppose that 20.7%
4. I strongly oppose that 28.7%
5. I don’t know 4.4%
17) In case all efforts fail to reach a settlement aiming at the revival of
peace, which of the following options is most likely to take place on the
Palestinian side:
Response Percentage
1. Unilateral proclamation of a Palestinian state and escalation of the
violent resistance 31.3%
2. Dissolution of the Palestinian Authority and putting the world before the
responsibilities for the jurisdiction vacuum resulting from the dissolution
of the Palestinian Authority and the steering of the resistance by the
Palestinian factions 34.3%
3. Keep the status quo, i.e. the Palestinian Authority, beside developing
new strategies to conduct the Palestinian affairs 29.7%
4. I don’t know 4.7%
Methodology of the Survey Study:
Mr. Elias Kukali, a staff member of the Research and Studies’ Section at the
PCPO, said that all interviews of this survey were conducted inside the
respondents’ homes, i.e. face-to-face during different working hours, at
least five hours a’ day, including the evening time, in order to ensure
proper presentation of those sub-groups of the population, which would
otherwise be difficult to reach and selecting one individual in each
household using the Last Birthday Method. The choices were taken from a
total of (158) election sites, from which (118) are located in the West Bank
and (40) sites in Gaza Strip.
Mr. E. Kukali has further established that the margin of error in this poll
was (+- 3.09%) at a confidence level of (95 %). He added that the rate of
the female respondents in this survey was (49.3 %) and that of the male
respondents was (50.7%) . The distribution of the random sample between the
Palestinian two major regions was (63.6%) in the West Bank, including East
Jerusalem, and (36.4 %) in Gaza Strip, allocated as follows: (51.5 %) urban
areas, (31.7 %) rural areas and (16.8 %) refugee camps. The average age of
the sample respondents was (33.5) years.
About PCPO:
The Palestinian Center for Public Opinion (PCPO) was founded in February
1994 in Beit Sahour by Dr. Nabil Kukali, who became the director of this
center since that time.
Since that time we are dedicated to the following activities:
1) Conducting public opinion surveys.
2) Omnibus polls and services.
3) Market studies on all kinds of trading activities.
4) Surveys of consumer attitudes, consumption habits, and market shares.
5) Communication researches.
6) Focus group sessions and workshops on various topics.
7) Rendering services in the field of investment, including feasibility
studies.
8) In-depth interviews & brainstorming workshops.
9) Translation services from Arabic into English, German & Hebrew and
vice-versa.
PCPO is now a name for reliability, credibility and experience not only in
Palestine, but all over the world.
Find out more about us, along with the latest polls at www.pcpo.org
Contact Persons: Dr. Nabil Kukali & Elias Kukali
Tel: +970 2 277 4846, Fax: +970 2 277 4892
Mobile: +970 599 726 878
P.O. Box 15, Beit Sahour - Palestine
Email: dr.kukali@pcpo.org
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