Sadat Chair at the University of Maryland
With Dahaf Institute, Israel

February 2012 Israeli Public Opinion Survey
http://sadat.umd.edu/TelhamiIsraelPollFebruary2012[1].pdf

Professor Shibley Telhami, Principal Investigator Anwar Sadat Chair for
Peace and Development and Nonresident Senior Fellow, Saban Center at
Brookings

Poll conducted February 22-26 among a nationally representative sample of
500 Israelis. The margin of error is +/- 4.3%

There has been increased talk of a military strike by Israel against Iran’s
nuclear facilities, even though the United States, the UK and Germany have
advised against it. What do you think Israel should do?
All Israelis/Israeli Jews only

19/22 Strike Iran’s nuclear facilities, even without the support of the US
42/43 Strike only if Israel gains at least American support
34/32 Do not strike Iran

What do you believe the likely outcome would be if Israel strikes Iran:
All Israelis/Israeli Jews only

09/10 It would delay Iran’s ability to develop nuclear weapons by 1-2 years
22/25 It would delay Iran’s capabilities by 3-5 years
22/19 It would delay Iran’s capabilities by more than 5 years
11/12 It would accelerate Iran’s nuclear program
19/21 It would have no effect on Iran’s nuclear program

Given America’s recommendation that Israel not strike Iran, what do you
believe the U.S. government’s reaction would be if Israel strikes anyway?
All Israelis/Israeli Jews only

27/28 It would join the war on Israel's behalf
39/37 It would support Israel diplomatically, but not provide military
assistance
14/16 It would stay neutral
15/16 It would punish Israel by reducing its current support to Israel

In your estimation, how long would an armed conflict with Iran last if
Israel strikes its nuclear facilities?
All Israelis/Israeli Jews only

18/20 Days
19/20 Weeks
29/29 Months
22/21 Years

If Israel strikes Iran’s nuclear facilities, in your view, how would this
affect the Iranian government?
All Israelis/Israeli Jews only

44/38 It would be strengthened
04/04 It would have no effect
45/49 It would be weakened Iran

If Israel strikes, what do you think Hezbollah would do?
All Israelis/Israeli Jews only

68/74 Hezbollah would join Iran in retaliation
27/23 Hezbollah would only retaliate if Israel strikes them, too

If the Republican candidate for the Presidency of the United States is Mitt
Romney, whom would you like to see elected as the next American president?
All Israelis/ Israeli Jews only

29/32 Barack Obama
29/29 Mitt Romney
06/05 None of them
07/05 I have no preferences

If the Republican candidate for the Presidency of the United States is Rick
Santorum, whom would you like to see elected as the next American president?
All Israelis/ Israeli Jews only

33/34 Barack Obama
18/21 Rick Santorum
07/05 None of them
07/05 I have no preferences 7
5

If the Republican candidate for the Presidency of the United States is Newt
Gingrich, whom would you like to see elected as the next American president?
All Israelis/ Israeli Jews only

32/31 Barack Obama
25/27 Newt Gingrich
06/06 None of them
06/05 I have no preferences

If the Republican candidate for the Presidency of the United States is Ron
Paul, whom would you like to see elected as the next American president?
All Israelis/Israeli Jews only

32/34 Barack Obama
21/24 Ron Paul
06/05 None of them
08/06 I have no preferences