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Tuesday, April 3, 2012
PSR Poll of Palestinians:47.5% support armed attacks against Israeli civilians inside Israel

PSR - Survey Research Unit: Poll No. 43 - Full Analysis

55) Concerning armed attacks against Israeli civilians inside Israel,
I….
1) Certainly support 11.3%
2) Support 36.2%
3) Oppose 44.6%
4) Certainly oppose 5.8%
5) DK/NA 2.0%
________________________________________

03 April, 2012

Palestinian Public Opinion Poll No (43)
http://www.pcpsr.org/survey/polls/2012/p43efull.html#resultstable

These are the results of the latest poll conducted by the Palestinian Center
for Policy and Survey Research (PSR) in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip
between 15-17 March 2012. Total size of the sample is 1270 adults
interviewed face to face in 127 randomly selected locations. Margin of error
is 3%.

For further details, contact PSR director, Dr. Khalil Shikaki, or Walid
Ladadweh at tel 02-296 4933 or email pcpsr@pcpsr.org.

PSR Poll No. 43
15-17 March 2012

Total
00 ) From among the following satellite news stations, which one you
watched most during the last two months?
1) Al Arabia 12.8%
2) Al Jazeera 46.2%
3) Al Hurra 0.8%
4) Al Manar 3.3%
5) Palestine TV 15.7%
6) Alaqsa 10.2%
7) Do not watch TV 5.9%
8) Others 4.9%
9) Do not have a dish 0.0%
10) DK/NA 0.3%
Total
1) In general, how would you describe conditions of the Palestinians in
the Palestinian areas in Gaza Strip these days?
1) Very good 1.7%
2) Good 11.0%
3) So so 15.5%
4) Bad 44.7%
5) Very bad 25.2%
6) DK/NA 1.8%

In general, how would you describe conditions of the Palestinians in the
Palestinian areas in the West Bank these days?
2) 1) Very good 6.0%
2) Good 24.8%
3) So so 31.5%
4) Bad 24.8%
5) Very bad 11.2%
6) DK/NA 1.7%
Total
3) Generally, do you see yourself as:
1) Religious 44.8%
2) Somewhat religious 50.2%
3) Not religious 4.9%
4) DK/NA 0.2%
Total
4) Generally, do you see yourself as:
1) Supportive of the peace process 62.5%
2) Opposed to the peace process 19.9%
3) Between support and opposition 16.9%
4) DK/NA 0.7%
Total
5) Do you think that there is corruption in PA institutions under the
control of President Abu Mazin?
1) Yes 72.9%
2) No 17.7%
3) DK-NA 9.4%
Total
6) Do you think that there is corruption in PA institutions under the
control of the dismissed government in the Gaza Strip
1) Yes 61.6%
2) No 21.2%
3) DK-NA 17.2%
Total
7) In your view, is there a press freedom in the West Bank?
1) Yes 23.0%
2) To some extent 43.1%
3) No 30.6%
4) DK-NA 3.3%
Total
8) In your view, is there a press freedom in the Gaza Strip?
1) Yes 16.2%
2) To some extent 33.8%
3) No 40.4%
4) DK-NA 9.5%
Total
9) In your view, can people in the West Bank today criticize the
authority without fear?
1) Yes 30.2%
2) No 66.0%
3) DK-NA 3.8%
Total
10) In your view, can people in the Gaza Strip today criticize the
authority without fear?
1) Yes 21.9%
2) No 67.5%
3) DK-NA 10.6%
Total
11) Would you say that these days your security and safety, and that of
your family, is assured or not assured?
1) Completely assured 6.4%
2) Assured 43.2%
3) Not assured 43.3%
4) Not assured at all 7.1%
5) DK/NA 0.1%
Total
12) Do current political, security, and economic conditions lead you to
seek emigration abroad?
1) Certainly seek to emigrate 11.5%
2) Seek emigration 19.0%
3) Do not seek emigration 36.5%
4) Certainly do not seek emigration 32.8%
5) DK/NA 0.3%
Total
13) Tell us how do you evaluate the performance of the dismissed
government of Ismail Haniyeh in the Gaza Strip? Is it good or bad?
1) Very Good 8.2%
2) Good 28.1%
3) Neither good nor bad 28.6%
4) Bad 18.2%
5) Very Bad 7.6%
6) No Opinion/Don’t know 9.3%
Total
14) Tell us how do you evaluate the performance of the government headed
by Salam Fayyad? Is it good or bad?
1) Very Good 6.3%
2) Good 27.7%
3) Neither good nor bad 31.7%
4) Bad 20.9%
5) Very Bad 8.4%
6) No Opinion/Don’t know 4.9%
Total
15) Are you satisfied or not satisfied with the performance of Mahmud
Abbas since his election as president of the PA?
1) Very satisfied 7.2%
2) Satisfied 47.8%
3) Not satisfied 31.8%
4) Not satisfied at all 10.7%
5) DK/NA 2.4%
Total
16) If new presidential elections are to take place today, and Mahmud
Abbas was nominated by Fateh and Ismail Haniyeh was nominated by Hamas, whom
would you vote for?
1) Mahmoud Abbas 53.6%
2) Ismael Haniyyah 41.5%
4) DK/NA 4.9%
Total
17) And if the competition was between Marwan Barghouti representing
Fateh and Ismail Haniyeh representing Hamas, whom would you vote for?
1) Marwan Barghouti 64.0%
2) Ismael Haniyyah 31.9%
4) DK/NA 4.1%
Total
19) If new elections agreed to by all factions are held today and the
same lists that took part in the last PLC elections were nominated, for whom
would you vote?
1) Alternative 1.3%
2) Independent Palestine 3.5%
3) Abu Ali Mustafa 3.6%
4) Abu al Abbas 0.1%
5) Freedom and social justice 0.2%
6) Change and reform 27.3%
7) National coalition for justice and democracy 0.0%
8) Third way(headed by Salam Fayyad) 0.5%
9) Freedom and independence 1.1%
10) Palestinian justice 0.1%
11) Fateh 42.1%
12) None of the above/ DK/NA/ Do not remember 20.3%
Total
20 -1) From among the following vital national goals, which in your view
should the first most important one and which should be the second most
important goal that the Palestinian people should strive to achieve?
First:
1) Israeli withdrawal to the 1967 borders and the establishment of a
Palestinian state in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip with East Jerusalem as
its capital 44.9%
2) Obtain the right of return to refuges to their 1948 towns and
villages 32.3%
3) Establish a democratic political system that respects freedoms and
rights of Palestinians 8.4%
4) Build a pious or moral individual and a religious society, one that
applies all Islamic teachings 14.4%
Total
20-2) From among the following vital national goals, which in your view
should the first most important one and which should be the second most
important goal that the Palestinian people should strive to achieve?
Second:
1) Israeli withdrawal to the 1967 borders and the establishment of a
Palestinian state in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip with East Jerusalem as
its capital 23.9% 24.3% 23.3%
2) Obtain the right of return to refuges to their 1948 towns and
villages 40.3% 41.9% 37.5%
3) Establish a democratic political system that respects freedoms and
rights of Palestinians 16.8% 15.6% 18.7%
4) Build a pious or moral individual and a religious society, one that
applies all Islamic teachings 19.0% 18.2% 20.5%
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
21) The Palestinian society confronts today various problems, like the
continuation of occupation and settlements, the spread of unemployment and
poverty, the lack of national unity due to the split between the West Bank
and the Gaza Strip, the continuation of the siege and blockade of the Gaza
Strip and the closure of its border crossings, the spread of corruption in
public institutions, and others. Tell us, what in your opinion, is the
problem you see as the most fundamental, the one that must be on the top
priority of the Palestinian Authority?
Open ended ------------------------
1) Continuation of occupation and settlements, 25.0%
2) Spread of unemployment and poverty 28.1%
3) Lack of national unity due to the split between the West 22.8%
4) Continuation of the siege and blockade of the Gaza Strip and the
closure of its border crossings 9.0%
5) The spread of corruption in public institutions 13.7%
6) Other 1.1%
7) DK/NA 0.3%
Total
22) Mahmud Abbas and Khalid Misha'al have agreed in the Doha Agreement
to form a reconciliation government whose mandate is to organize elections
and to start Gaza rebuilding. Are you in favor or not in favor of this
agreement?
1) Certainly in favor 24.5%
2) In favor 59.7%
3) Not in favor 10.0%
4) Certainly not in favor 1.9%
5) DK/NA 3.9%
Total
23) After the meeting between president Abbas and head of Hamas, Khalid
Misha'al in Doha recently, and the agreement between the two sides to form a
reconciliation government headed by Mahmud Abbas. In your view, will the two
sides succeed this time in implementing the agreement and unifying the West
Bank and the Gaza Strip in the near future?
1) Certainly yes 3.3%
2) Yes 42.2%
3) No 37.2%
4) Certainly no 11.3%
5) DK/NA 6.0%
Total
24) And when do you think a reconciliation government or a government of
experts will be established?
1) Within days 2.5%
2) Within weeks 13.1%
3) After a long time 45.5%
4) It will not be established 30.9%
5) DK/NA 8.0%
Total
25) Do you think presidential and parliamentary elections will take
place in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip on the proposed date of May 2012
or a little after that?
1) Certainly yes 1.8%
2) Yes 28.0%
3) No 35.7%
4) Certainly no 21.1%
5) DK/NA 13.4%
Total
26) If new parliamentary and presidential elections were to take place
now, who do you think will win, Fateh or Hamas or others?
1) Fateh 40.1%
2) Hamas 23.2%
3) Others 20.0%
4) DK/NA 16.7%
Total
27) President Abbas states that the new reconciliation government made
up of technocrats will follow his and the PLO peace policies, not that of
Hamas. Which peace policy do you prefer the reconciliation government should
follow, that of the president and the PLO or that of Hamas?
1) Certainly Abbas and the PLO 25.6%
2) Abbas and PLO 36.2%
3) Hamas 16.9%
4) Certainly Hamas 3.3%
5) DK/NA 17.9%
Total
28) Lately we have heard of public disagreements among Hamas leaders
regarding the Doha agreement and Hamas' consent to the appointment of Mahmud
Abbas as the prime minister of the reconciliation government. Do you think
the disagreement reflects normal and marginal differences of opinion or deep
and big differences?
1) Certainly normal and marginal 9.4%
2) Normal and marginal 33.8%
3) Deep and big 37.8%
4) Certainly deep and big 10.7%
5) DK/NA 8.3%
Total
29) What in your view will happen after the formation of a reconciliation
government headed by Mahmud Abbas? Will international boycott and financial
sanctions return?
1) Certainly will return 17.0%
2) Will return 40.3%
3) Will not return 26.1%
4) Certainly will not return 8.5%
5) DK/NA 8.0%
Total
30) The PA confronts today a big financial deficit in its budget and
soon this year it might not be able to pay salaries. Two proposed options
have been offered: either to raise taxes or transfer about 25000 public
sector employees to early retirement. If these were the only two choices,
which one would you choose?
1) Tax increase 9.4%
2) Early retirement 29.2%
3) Both 10.9%
4) Neither 47.9%
5) DK/NA 2.5%
Total
31) If you think there are other options to solve the financial crisis
confronting the PA, which of the following you would choose?
1) Dissolve the PA 26.7%
2) Return to negotiation in order to obtain greater donor support
52.2%
3) Other 8.4%
4) DK/NA 12.7%
Total
31-B) In light of the current financial situation of the PA, the
continued occupation and settlement construction, and the cessation of
negotiations, do you think the PA is capable of surviving for a long time?
1) Yes, for ten years or more 33.6%
2) Yes, for three to 10 years 26.0%
3) Yes, for a year or two 13.5%
4) May be for a year or less 15.5%
5) DK/NA 11.4%
Total
32) Qatar played a big role in concluding the reconciliation agreement
announced in Doha recently. Do you welcome or do not welcome the role Qatar
is playing in Palestinian affairs?
1) Certainly welcome it 17.4%
2) welcome it 51.2%
3) do not welcome it 18.8%
4) Certainly do not welcome it 8.6%
5) DK/NA 4.0%
Total
33) From among the following list, whom do you think is most suitable to
be Fateh' s presidential candidate in case president Abbas insisted on not
nominating himself in the next presidential elections?
1) Abu Mahir Ghnaim 1.8%
2) Mahmud Aloul 2.5%
3) Marwan Barghouti 54.6%
4) Nasir al Qidwa 2.5%
5) Salim al Za'noon 0.3%
6) Jibreel al Rojoub 1.4%
7) Saeb Erikat 3.4%
8) Azzam al Ahmad 1.3%
9) Ahmad Qurie' 2.0%
10) Others 13.9%
11) DK/NA 16.3%
Total
33B) What if the list of candidates did not include Marwan Barghouti,
whom would you in this case find most suitable to be Fateh's presidential
candidate from among those remaining in the list?
1) Abu Mahir Ghnaim 7.2%
2) Mahmud Aloul 7.3%
4) Nasir al Qidwa 8.9%
5) Salim al Za'noon 1.8%
6) Jibreel al Rojoub 3.6%
7) Saeb Erikat 18.0%
8) Azzam al Ahmad 4.7%
9) Ahmad Qurie' 7.3%
10) Others 22.1%
11) DK/NA 19.1%
Total
34) The Palestinian Authority has recently submitted corruption files to
Palestinian courts. Do you think the PA is serious or not serious about
fighting corruption?
1) Certainly serious 12.0%
2) serious 40.7%
3) not serious 35.5%
4) Certainly not serious 7.6%
5) DK/NA 4.3%
Total
35) Palestinian prisoner Khadir Adnan has recently declared a hunger
strike in order to protest his administrative detention. The strike ended
with an agreement to release him after his current detention period ends in
April. Do you think this agreement is likely to speed up the process of
ending the whole practice of administrative detention?
1) Certainly will speed it 11.6%
2) will speed it 45.1%
3) will not speed it 29.9%
4) Certainly will not speed it 8.6%
5) DK/NA 4.8%
Total
36) Despite Israeli rejection to freeze settlement construction or
accept the 1967 borders as the basis for negotiations, Palestinian-Israeli
exploratory talks were conducted about two months ago in Amman under
Jordanian sponsorship. Do you think the President Abbas' decision to
participate in these talks was right or wrong?
1) Certainly right 4.9%
2) right 43.2%
3) wrong 32.9%
4) Certainly wrong 9.6%
5) DK/NA 9.4%
Total
37) The Amman exploratory talks have been stopped, but pressure from the
international Quartet is mounting on the PA to resume them. Given present
conditions, do you support or oppose the resumption of the Amman exploratory
talks without an Israeli commitment to return to the 67 borders and to stop
construction in the settlements?
1) Certainly support 4.2%
2) Support 31.1%
3) Oppose 42.1%
4) Certainly oppose 16.1%
5) DK/NA 6.6%
Total
38) What do you expect to happen between Palestinians and Israelis now
after the exploratory talks in Amman have stopped?
1) The two sides will return soon to negotiations 25.4%
2) The two sides will return to negotiations but some armed attacks will
take place 35.7%
3) The two sides will not return to negotiations and some armed attacks
will take place 18.1%
4) The two sides will not return to negotiations and there will be no
armed attacks 15.8%
5) DK/NA 4.9%
Total
39) Some believe that the two-state solution, an independent Palestinian
state alongside the state of Israel, is no longer viable due to settlement
expansion while others believe that it is still viable today as settlements
can be dismantled or evacuated when an agreement is reached. What do you
think?
1) Certainly the two-state solution is no longer viable 21.6%
2) The two state solution is no longer viable 36.2%
3) The two-state solution remains viable today 26.2%
4) Certainly, the two-state solution remains viable today 10.8%
5) DK/NA 5.1%
Total
40) Talk has recently increased about the inevitable failure of the two
state solution and the need to demand the formulation of a solution based on
the establishment of one state in all Palestinian areas and Israel, one in
which Arabs and Jews enjoy equality. Do you support or oppose this view?
1) Certainly support 5.3%
2) Support 30.4%
3) Oppose 41.6%
4) Certainly oppose 19.4%
5) DK/NA 3.3%
Total
41) Now more than 40 years after the Israeli occupation of the West Bank
and the Gaza Strip, what in your view are the chances for the establishment
of an independent Palestinian state next to the state of Israel in the next
five years? Are they high, medium, low, or none existent?
1) None existent 28.2%
2) Low 39.8%
3) Medium 26.6%
4) High 4.4%
5) DK/NA 1.0%
Total
42) To what extent are you worried or not worried that you or a member
of your family could be hurt by Israel in your daily life or that your land
would be confiscated or home demolished?
1) Very Worried 34.2%
2) Worried 42.0%
3) Not worried 19.0%
4) Not worried at all 4.6%
5) DK/NA 0.3%
Total
43) What do you think are the aspirations of Israel for the long run?
1) Withdrawal from the territories it occupied in 1967 after
guaranteeing its security 6.5%
2) Withdrawal form part of the occupied territories after guaranteeing
its security 8.6%
3) Annexation of the West Bank while denying political rights of
Palestinian citizens 21.1%
4) Extending the borders of the state of Israel to cover all the area
between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean Sea and expelling its Arab
citizens 62.3%
5) DK/NA 1.5%
Total
44) According to the Saudi plan, Israel will retreat from all
territories occupied in 1967 including Gaza the West Bank, Jerusalem and the
Golan Heights, and a Palestinian state will be established. The refugees
problem will be resolved through negotiation in a just and agreed upon
manner and in accordance with UN resolution 194 which allows return of
refugees to Israel and compensation. In return, all Arab states will
recognize Israel and its right to secure borders, will sign peace treaties
with her and establish normal diplomatic relations. Do you agree or disagree
to this plan?
1) Certainly agree 5.7%
2) Agree 49.9%
3) Disagree 33.0%
4) Certainly Disagree 9.1%
5) DK/NA 2.3%
Total
45) There is a proposal that after the establishment of an independent
Palestinian state and the settlement of all issues in dispute, including the
refugees and Jerusalem issues, there will be a mutual recognition of Israel
as the state of the Jewish people and Palestine as the state of the
Palestinians people. Do you agree or disagree to this proposal?
1) Certainly agree 2.8%
2) Agree 40.4%
3) Disagree 40.5%
4) Certainly Disagree 14.8%
5) DK/NA 1.5%
Total
46-1) Now that negotiations between Palestinians and Israelis have
stopped, would you support or oppose the following option in the search for
achieving Palestinian rights?
Going to the Security Council to obtain a recognition of a Palestinian state
1) Certainly support 21.6%
2) Support 53.9%
3) Oppose 19.5%
4) Certainly oppose 3.9%
5) DK/NA 1.1%
Total
46-2) Unilaterally declare the establishment of a Palestinian state
1) Certainly support 12.9%
2) Support 45.8%
3) Oppose 33.5%
4) Certainly oppose 6.1%
5) DK/NA 1.7%
Total
46-3) Abandon the two state solution and demand the establishment of one
state for Palestinians and Israelis
1) Certainly support 3.8%
2) Support 25.5%
3) Oppose 52.0%
4) Certainly oppose 16.6%
5) DK/NA 2.1%
Total
46-4) Resort to popular non violent and unarmed resistance
1) Certainly support 9.3%
2) Support 51.9%
3) Oppose 31.9%
4) Certainly oppose 6.2%
5) DK/NA 0.7%
Total
46-5) Return to the armed intifada and confrontations
1) Certainly support 10.3%
2) Support 28.7%
3) Oppose 48.8%
4) Certainly oppose 10.5%
5) DK/NA 1.7%
Total
46-6) Dissolve the Palestinian Authority
1) Certainly support 10.5%
2) Support 29.2%
3) Oppose 42.2%
4) Certainly oppose 14.5%
5) DK/NA 3.5%
Total
47) Now after more than a year since the eruption of Arab revolts and
the conduct of elections in several countries, what is your assessment of
the likely impact of these revolts on the Palestinian cause? Will it be
positive or negative? Or will it have no impact?
1) Certainly it will be positive 13.9%
2) It will be positive 37.2%
3) It will be negative 16.1%
4) Certainly it will be negative 5.7%
5) Will have no impact, positive or negative 24.3%
6) DK/NA 2.9%
Total
48) Demonstrations against the Syrian regime have been taken place for
about a year now demanding the fall of the regime led by Bashar al Asad. Do
you find yourself supporting the demonstrators or the regime led by Asad?
1) Certainly support the demonstrators 45.5%
2) Support the demonstrators 37.3%
3) Support the regime led by Asad 7.8%
4) Certainly support the regime led by Asad 1.1%
5) DK/NA 8.2%
Total
49) In your view, which side does Hamas support? The demonstrators or
the regime led by Asad?
1) The demonstrators 41.9%
2) The regime led by Asad 22.7%
3) Both 4.7%
4) Neither 6.9%
5) DK/NA 23.8%
Total
50) And what about Hizballah? Does it, in your view, support the
demonstrators or the regime led by Asad?
1) The demonstrators 27.3%
2) The regime led by Asad 44.2%
3) Both 4.2%
4) Neither 3.4%
5) DK/NA 20.9%
Total
51) Some Syrian groups opposed to the regime call for foreign military
intervention to bring down the Assad regime. Do you support or oppose such
calls?
1) Certainly support 13.2%
2) Support 32.6%
3) Oppose 36.6%
4) Certainly oppose 13.0%
5) DK/NA 4.6%
Total
52) There is talk these days about Hamas leaders departing Syria and
relocating to other places, such as Cairo, Amman, Doha, or Gaza. If it was
up to you to select one of those areas as the main headquarter for Hamas,
which one would you select?
1) Cairo 17.0%
2) Amman 14.0%
3) Doha 18.7%
4) Gaza 41.4%
5) DK/NA 9.0%
Total
53) Lately, there has been talk about an Israeli military strike against
Iran's facilities, do you think that Israeli will actually carry out such
strike in the coming months?
Certainly will strike 7.1%
will strike 38.9%
will not strike 40.1%
certainly will not strike 8.0%
DK/NA 6.0%
Total
54) If Israel carried out a military strike against Iran, do you think
such a strike would lead to a big war in the region between Israel, Iran,
and other parties?
1) Certainly will lead to a big war 42.3%
2) will lead to a big war 42.5%
3) will not lead to a big war 8.8%
4) Certainly will not lead to a big war 2.1%
5) DK/NA 4.2%
Total
55) Concerning armed attacks against Israeli civilians inside Israel,
I….
1) Certainly support 11.3%
2) Support 36.2%
3) Oppose 44.6%
4) Certainly oppose 5.8%
5) DK/NA 2.0%
Total
56) Which of the following political parties do you support?
1) PPP 0.4%
2) PFLP 4.4%
3) Fateh 33.4%
4) Hamas 20.3%
5) DFLP 0.7%
6) Islamic Jihad 2.2%
7) Fida 0.3%
8) National Initiative (Almubadara) 0.4%
9) Independent Islamist 2.9%
10) Independent nationalist 2.6%
11) Third way headed by Salam Fayyad 0.4%
12) None of the above 31.4%
13) Others 0.6%
Total
57) If you use the internet to surf social sites like Facebook, Twitter,
and various groups or to access email, how many times do you normally do
that?
1) More than once a day 9.2%
2) Daily 16.4%
3) Between 2-5 times weekly 11.6%
4) Once a week 7.7%
5) Once a month 4.7%
6) Others (specify -----) 0.4%
7) Does not apply—I have no email and do not visit social sites 50.1%

------------------
This PSR survey was conducted with the support of the Konrad Adenauer
Stiftung in Ramallah

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