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Thursday, November 15, 2012 |
Weekly Commentary: The Learning Curve Problem with the Bang=>Quiet-Quiet Model for Gaza |
Weekly Commentary: The Learning Curve Problem with the Bang=>Quiet-Quiet Dr. Aaron Lerner Date: 15 November 2012 Under the "Bang=>Quiet-Quiet" Model the IDF seeks to cause enough pain to Proponents of the "Bang=>Quiet-Quiet" Model don't claim that permanent To be clear: under "quiet-quiet" the Palestinians can do anything and Now if the Palestinians were only "reloading" in each round of the But the Palestinians are not only "reloading". They are continuously upgrading their weapons systems as they race up the Each round their missiles have longer ranges, with greater accuracy and more Each round they are equipped with more sophisticated weapons to use against And each round they study – with the help of their Iranian and other That's not to say that Israel doesn't also study and prepare for the next Just that each round has, by its nature, much higher stakes. Increasingly more dangerous stakes. If the "Bang=>Quiet-Quiet" model is no longer acceptable then what can Some leaders talk of toppling the Hamas regime and retaking the Gaza Strip. But there is a way to radically change the "Bang=>Quiet-Quiet" model so that And that's with retaking the Philadelphi Corridor. Please note: I am not writing this off the top of my head. I checked with And the experts, almost to a man, tell me that while we could not They also tell me that if the Philadelphi Corridor is widened from its To be clear: retaking the Philadelphi Corridor is not a "Bang". Israel would retake the Philadelphi Corridor because there's simply no other The international community has neither the will nor the wherewithal to stop And Egypt is certainly not about to actually close down the tunnels – photo Israel could tell the world that it is retaking the Philadelphi Corridor In fact, as evidence that the move is not meant as a punishment for the And as further evidence that Israel bears no ill will against the Gazan Yes. It is extremely tempting for the decision makers to opt for the But it would be a disservice to the Israeli public in general and those now Take note: the Israeli public isn’t demanding that this round end as quickly And of the options available, retaking the Philadelphi Corridor is most Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis) |
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