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Tuesday, December 25, 2012
Dialog Poll: Bayit Yehudi 13 seats National camp 67

Dialog Poll: Bayit Yehudi 13 seats National camp 67
Dr. Aaron Lerner - IMRA 25 December 2012

A technical note: Refreshing to see the statistics for percent agreed to
participate in the poll. The figure is similar to figures I have seen
before. It reminds us, however, that there is the issue if the propensity
to be willing to participate in a poll at a given time is somehow correlated
to choice of party - thus impacting that results. And if one is already
willing to share surch information - how about the percentage of respondents
who did not say what party they would vote for?

Poll carried out 23-24 December - by Dialogue under the supervision of
statistics professor and pollster Camil Fuchs of a representative sample of
491 adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs). 30% of those called agreed to
participate in the poll. Statistical error +/- 4.3 percentage points.
Published in Haaretz 25 December 2012.

If elections held today (expressed in Knesset seats)
Current Knesset seats in [brackets].
Please note: There are 120 seats in the Knesset. Parties must receive a
minimum of 2% of the valid votes cast in the elections to be included in the
Knesset - this comes to 2.4 seats. After elections are held the coalition
forming a government must receive 61 votes in a vote of confidence in the
Knesset.

35 [42] Likud Beiteinu (Likud & Yisrael Beiteinu)
17 [13] Labor
13 [07] Bayit Yehudi (Jewish Home/NRP & National Union)
13 [11] Shas
10 [---] Livni party "Hatnua" Party
09 [---] Lapid "Atid" Party
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah
04 [03] Meretz
02 [28] Kadima
11 [11] Arab parties
00 [---] Otzma Leyisrael (Eldad and Ben Ari)
00 [---] Am Shalem headed by Rabbi Haim Amsalem

Do you agree with what Naftali Bennett said that a soldier can refuse to
carry out an order if in conscience doesn't allow him to carry it out?
Agree 29% Disagree 59% Don't know 12%

What politician would you be willing to buy a used car from?
None 34% Netanyahu 9% Shelley Yichimovitz 9% Lapid 8% Livni 8% Aryeh Deri
8% Bennett 7% Liberman 2%

Which politician do you most believe>?
None 22% Netanyahu 18% Bennett 14% Livni 10% Deri 9% Yichimovitz 9% Lapid 7%
Liberman 5%

Which politician most cares about your problems?
None 33% Yichimovitz 17% Netanyahu 9% Deri 9% Lapid 7% Bennett 7% Livni 5%
Liberman 4%

Which politician would you most want to go to a pub with?
Netanyahu 20% Lapid 14% Bennett 11% Deri 8% Livni 8% Liberman 7% Yichimovitz
5%

Which politician do you most trust on security matters?
Netanyahu 38% Bennett 9% Livni 8% Yichimovitz 4%

Which politician do you most trust on economic matters?
Netanyahu 37% Yichimovitz 14% Livni 6% Bennett 4%

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il
Website: http://www.imra.org.il

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