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Wednesday, January 2, 2013
Dialog Poll: (Interesting details of respondents not certain about final choice) Likud-Beiteinu 34 Labor 16 Bayit Yehudi 14

Dialog Poll: (Interesting details of respondents not certain about final
choice) Likud-Beiteinu 34 Labor 16 Bayit Yehudi 14
Dr. Aaron Lerner - IMRA 2 January 2013

Poll carried out 31 December 2012 - by Dialogue under the supervision of
statistics professor and pollster Camil Fuchs of a representative sample of
666 adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs). 32% of those called agreed to
participate in the poll. Statistical error +/- 3.9 percentage points.
Published in Haaretz 2 January 2013.

If elections held today (expressed in Knesset seats)
Current Knesset seats in [brackets].
Please note: There are 120 seats in the Knesset. Parties must receive a
minimum of 2% of the valid votes cast in the elections to be included in the
Knesset - this comes to 2.4 seats. After elections are held the coalition
forming a government must receive 61 votes in a vote of confidence in the
Knesset.

34 [42] Likud Beiteinu (Likud & Yisrael Beiteinu)
16 [13] Labor
14 [07] Bayit Yehudi (Jewish Home/NRP & National Union)
11 [11] Shas
10 [---] Livni party "Hatnua" Party
09 [---] Lapid "Yesh Atid" Party
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah
04 [03] Meretz
02 [28] Kadima
02 [---] Otzma Leyisrael (Eldad and Ben Ari)
12 [11] Arab parties
Parties that are under the 2% threshhold:

1.3% Am Shalem headed by Rabbi Haim Amsalem
1.0% Koach Leyisrael
0.9% Greens
0.7% Eretz Chadasha
0.6% Aleh Yarok
0.5% Hayisraelim

Percent of those who said what party they were going to vote for and were
still not certain that they would ultimately vote for the party by party
identified:
(for example, 28% of those who said they would vote for Likud Beiteinu said
that they were still not certain that they would ultimately vote for Likud
Beiteinu and 5% of all Likud Beiteinu voters are considering voting for
Bayit Yehudi)
28% Likud Beiteinu (5% of Likud-Beiteinu voters are considering voting for
Bayit Yehudi)
27% Labor (10% of Labor voters considering voting for Atid)
32% Bayit Yehudi (9% of Bayit Yehudi voters thinking of voting for Hatnua)
41% Hatnua (22% of Hatnua voters considering voting for Atid)
52% Atid (15% of - Atid voters considering voting for Labor)
50% Kadima (25% of Kadima voters considering voting for Likud Beiteinu)

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il
Website: http://www.imra.org.il

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