What do you think are the aspirations of the Palestinians for the long run?
Results for Israeli Jews
12.0% Regain some of the territories conquered in the 1967 war
19.4% Regain all the territories conquered in the 1967 war
18.1% Conquer the State of Israel
41.8% Conquer the State of Israel and destroy much of the Jewish population
in Israel
08.7% DK/NA
for complete results
http://www.truman.huji.ac.il/.upload/Polls%20June%202013.pdf

PSR - Survey Research Unit: Joint Palestinian Israeli Press release
http://www.pcpsr.org/survey/polls/2013/p48ejoint.html

2 July 2013

PRESS RELEASE

Joint Israeli Palestinian Poll, June 2013

Despite the launching of the efforts of US Secretary of State John Kerry to
renew the peace process and the modification introduced to the Arab Peace
Initiative (API) accepting minor territorial swaps, both sides display
pessimism regarding the peace process and Israeli support for the API drops

These are the results of the most recent poll conducted jointly by the Harry
S. Truman Research Institute for the Advancement of Peace at the Hebrew
University of Jerusalem and the Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey
Research in Ramallah. This joint survey was conducted with the support of
the Konrad Adenauer Stiftung in Ramallah and Jerusalem.

- Israelis and Palestinians continue to display pessimism regarding the
peace process despite efforts by US Secretary of State John Kerry to renew
the peace process and despite modification introduced to the Arab Peace
Initiative: Only 27% of the Palestinians and 10% of the Israelis think that
the two sides will return to negotiations and violence will stop while 34%
of the Israelis and 31% of the Palestinians believe that negotiations will
resume but some armed attacks will continue as well. On the other hand, 44%
of the Israelis and 15% of the Palestinians think that the two sides will
not return to negotiations and armed attacks will not stop and 21% of the
Palestinians believe that the two sides will not return to negotiations but
that violence will not resume.

- Furthermore, findings indicate that each side perceives the other side as
constituting a threat to its very existence: 57% of Palestinians think that
Israel’s goals in the long run are to extend its borders to cover all the
area between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean Sea and expel its Arab
citizens, and 25% think the goals are to annex the West Bank while denying
political rights to the Palestinians. 37% of the Israelis think that the
Palestinian aspirations in the long run are to conquer the State of Israel
and destroy much of the Jewish population in Israel; 17% think the goals of
the Palestinians are to conquer the State of Israel.

The Palestinian sample size was 1270 adults interviewed face-to-face in the
West Bank, East Jerusalem and Gaza Strip in 127 randomly selected locations
between June 13 and 16, 2013. The margin of error is 3%. The Israeli sample
includes 601 adult Israelis interviewed by phone in Hebrew, Arabic or
Russian between June 14 and 21, 2013. The margin of error is 4.5%. The poll
was planned and supervised by Prof. Ifat Maoz, the Harry S. Truman Research
Institute for the Advancement of Peace, the Department of Communication and
Journalism and Director of the Swiss Center for Conflict Research at the
Hebrew University, and Prof. Khalil Shikaki, Director of the Palestinian
Center for Policy and Survey Research (PSR).

For further details on the Palestinian survey contact PSR director, Prof.
Khalil Shikaki or Walid Ladadweh, at tel. 02-2964933 or email
pcpsr@pcpsr.org. On the Israeli survey, contact Prof Ifat Maoz at email
msifat@mscc.huji.ac.il.

MAIN FINDINGS

(A) Attitudes and expectations regarding the peace process

The majority of Israelis (68%) and Palestinians (69%) view the
chances for the establishment of an independent Palestinian state next to
Israel in the next five years as low or non-existent. A majority of Israelis
(62%) supports a two-state solution while 33% oppose it. Among the
Palestinians, 53% support and 46% oppose the two-state solution. 51% of
Israelis think that the two-state solution is bound to fail because of
settlements. 58% of Palestinians think that the two-state solution is no
longer viable. At the same time, a majority of Israelis (63%) and
Palestinians (69%) oppose the one state solution in which Arabs and Jews
enjoy equality; while 32% of Israelis and 30% of Palestinians support this
solution.

56% of the Palestinians support the Saudi peace plan and 41% oppose
it, while 24% of the Israelis support and 67% oppose it. A year ago, in June
2012, 51% of the Palestinians supported the Saudi plan and 45% opposed it,
while 36% of the Israelis supported and 59% opposed it. In other words, the
Arab modification of the plan, by accepting territorial swap, did not
positively change the views of the Israelis. On the other hand, the Arab
modification did not negatively affect Palestinian support for the
initiative. The plan calls for Arab recognition of and normalization of
relations with Israel after it ends its occupation of Arab territories
occupied in 1967 and after the establishment of a Palestinian state. The
plan calls for Israeli retreat from all territories occupied in 1967
including Gaza, the West Bank, Jerusalem and the Golan Heights, and the
establishment of a Palestinian state. The refugee problem will be resolved
through negotiations in a just and agreed upon manner and in accordance with
UN resolution 194. In return, all Arab states will recognize Israel and its
right to secure borders, will sign peace treaties with Israel and establish
normal diplomatic relations.

As we do periodically in our joint polls, we asked Israelis and
Palestinians about their readiness for a mutual recognition of national
identity as part of a permanent status agreement and after all issues in the
conflict are resolved and a Palestinian State is established. Our current
poll shows that 57% of the Israeli public supports such a mutual recognition
and 37% opposes it. Among Palestinians, 42% support and 56% oppose this
step. In June 2012, 53% of the Israelis supported and 43% opposed this
mutual recognition; among Palestinians, the corresponding figures were
similar to the current poll (43% support and 55% oppose).

(B) Conflict management and threat perceptions

· Given the launching of the efforts of US Secretary of State John
Kerry to renew the peace process and the modification introduced to the Arab
Peace Initiative accepting minor territorial swaps, 27% of the Palestinians
and 10% of the Israelis think that the two sides will return to negotiations
and violence will stop while 34% of the Israelis and 31% of the Palestinians
believe that negotiations will resume but some armed attacks will continue
as well. On the other hand, 44% of the Israelis and 15% of the Palestinians
think that the two sides will not return to negotiations and armed attacks
will not stop and 21% of the Palestinians believe that the two sides will
not return to negotiations but that violence will not resume.

· Among Israelis, 50% are worried and 49% are not worried that they
or their family may be harmed by Arabs in their daily life, this is similar
to our June 2012 findings. Among Palestinians, 74% are worried that they or
a member of their family could be hurt by Israel in their daily life or that
their land would be confiscated or home demolished. In June 2012, perception
of worry among Palestinians was identical.

· The level of perceived threat on both sides regarding the
aspirations of the other side in the long run is very high. 57% of
Palestinians think that Israel’s goals are to extend its borders to cover
all the area between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean Sea and expel
its Arab citizens, and 25% think the goals are to annex the West Bank while
denying political rights to the Palestinians. The modal category among
Israelis is that the Palestinian aspirations in the long run are to conquer
the State of Israel and destroy much of the Jewish population in Israel
(37%); 17% think the goals of the Palestinians are to conquer the State of
Israel. Only 17% of the Palestinians think Israel’s aspirations in the long
run are to withdraw from part or all of the territories occupied in 1967;
and 36% of Israelis think the aspirations of the Palestinians are to regain
some or all of the territories conquered in 1967.

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This joint survey was conducted with the support of the Konrad Adenauer
Stiftung in Ramallah and Jerusalem.