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Tuesday, November 5, 2013
AWRAD poll: West Bankers oppose intifada 68.0%:27.0% - will not participate 62.1%:28.4%

17-Would you support a third Intifada at this time?
West Bank/ Gaza/ Total
Yes 27.0% / 32.2% / 29.0%
No 68.0% / 63.1% / 66.2%
Don't know 4.9% / 4.7% / 4.8%

18- Would you participate if a third Intifada erupted?
West Bank/ Gaza/ Total
Yes 28.4% / 35.3% / 31.0%
No 62.1% / 55.3% / 59.5%
Don't know 9.5% / 9.3% / 9.4%

Results of an Opinion Poll
In the West Bank and Gaza
Overall situation Negotiations
Publication Date: 4 November 2013
Fieldwork: October 20-22, 2013
Sample Size: 1200 Palestinian in the West Bank and Gaza
Margin of error: +/-3%
Arab World for Research &Development.Ramallah Gaza, Palestine. Tele-fax:
00970-2-2950957/8
E-mail: awrad@awrad.org Website: www.awrad.org
http://www.awrad.org/page.php?id=jU7z64ZMeEa9848556A65fCSGeQfO

Overall situation

1-In general, would you say that things in Palestine are heading in the
right direction or the wrong direction?
West Bank/ Gaza/ Total
Right direction 43.7% / 32.7% / 39.6%
Wrong direction 52.0% / 65.1% / 56.9%
Don't know 4.3% / 2.2% / 3.5%

2-Are you optimistic or pessimistic about the future?
West Bank/ Gaza/ Total
Optimistic 59.1% / 49.1% / 55.3%
Pessimistic 40.0% / 49.6% / 43.6%
Don't know 0.9% / 1.3% / 1.1%

3-Is your family's economic situation better or worse than it was a year
ago?
West Bank/ Gaza/ Total
Better 19.1% / 12.7% / 16.7%
Stayed the same 41.9% / 33.3% / 38.7%
Worse 38.9% / 54.0% / 44.6%
Don't know 0.1% / 0.0% / 0.1%

4-Do you feel that internal security in your region has improved or
diminished during the past year?
West Bank/ Gaza/ Total
Improved 28.1% / 23.1% / 26.3%
Stayed the same 33.2% / 40.2% / 35.8%
Diminished 38.0% / 34.9% / 36.8%
Don't know 0.7% / 1.8% / 1.1%

Negotiations
5-Do you support or oppose the current round of negotiations?
West Bank/ Gaza/ Total
Support 54.9% / 51.3% / 53.5%
Oppose 39.9% / 44.7% / 41.7%
Don't know 5.2% / 4.0% / 4.8%

6-Have you received any information on the current round of negotiations
whether from the media or the leadership?
West Bank/ Gaza/ Total
Yes to a large extent 4.1% / 6.4% / 5.0%
Yes to some extent 31.5% / 20.2% / 27.3%
I have received very limited information 40.5% / 40.2% / 40.4%
I haven't received any information 21.2% / 30.7% / 24.8%
Don't Know 2.7% / 2.4% / 2.6%

7-Do you believe that the following parties are serious about peace
negotiations leading to the establishment of an independent Palestinian
state?
West Bank/ Gaza/ Total
PA
Yes 54.9% / 61.6% / 57.4%
To some extent 24.2% / 20.7% / 22.9%
No 16.2% / 16.2% / 16.2%
Don't know 4.8% / 1.6% / 3.6%
Israel
Yes 6.0% / 5.1% / 5.7%
To some extent 15.9% / 10.0% / 13.7%
No 73.2% / 84.2% / 77.3%
Don't know 4.9% / 0.7% / 3.3%
USA
Yes 6.3% / 7.1% / 6.6%
To some extent 19.0% / 14.2% / 17.2%
No 68.5% / 77.6% / 71.9%
Don't know 6.3% / 1.1% / 4.3%
UN members
Yes 8.8% / 9.8% / 9.2%
To some extent 25.2% / 24.7% / 25.0%
No 57.3% / 63.3% / 59.5%
Don't know 8.7% / 2.2% / 6.3%
EU
Yes 9.4% / 10.9% / 9.9%
To some extent 26.9% / 25.8% / 26.5%
No 52.9% / 60.4% / 55.8%
Don't know 10.8% / 2.9% / 7.8%

8-Are you optimistic that the current round of negotiations will produce
positive results?
West Bank/ Gaza/ Total
Yes 37.1% / 29.6% / 34.3%
No 51.4% / 58.2% / 54.0%
Don't know 11.5% / 12.2% / 11.8%

9- 20 years after Oslo, do you feel that Palestinians are closer to or
farther from achieving their goal of a Palestinian state?
West Bank/ Gaza/ Total
Closer 38.4% / 30.4% / 35.4%
Farther 55.6% / 58.7% / 56.8%
Don't know 6.0% / 10.9% / 7.8%

10-Do you have more or less hope for the peace process compared to one
year ago?
West Bank/ Gaza/ Total
More hope 41.1% / 31.8% / 37.6%
Less hope 54.3% / 62.2% / 57.3%
Don't know 4.7% / 6.0% / 5.2%

11-Would you support Palestinian leadership seeking remedies through UN
mechanisms, if the current round of negotiations were to fail?
West Bank/ Gaza/ Total
Yes 56.5% / 56.0% / 56.3%
No 38.5% / 35.1% / 37.3%
Don't know 4.9% / 8.9% / 6.4%

12-Do you support the principle of a two-state solution with a
Palestinian state living side-by-side in peace with Israel?
West Bank/ Gaza/ Total
Support 55.9% / 49.8% / 53.6%
Oppose 41.2% / 47.3% / 43.5%
Don't know 2.9% / 2.9% / 2.9%

13-If the current round of negotiations were to fail, what do you
believe will most likely happen?
West Bank/ Gaza/ Total
Nothing will happen/things will continue as is 29.7% / 35.6% / 31.9%
President Abbas will return to the UN 28.4% / 28.9% / 28.6%
There will be another Intifada 27.1% / 22.7% / 25.4%
The Palestinian Authority will collapse 8.7% / 6.7% / 7.9%
Don't know 6.1% / 6.2% / 6.2%

14-Generally, which of the following methods do you personally support
to achieve independence?
West Bank/ Gaza/ Total
Armed resistance 29.6% / 47.1% / 36.2%
Peaceful, non-violent resistance 26.9% / 18.2% / 23.7%
Direct negotiations between Palestinians and Israelis 21.5% / 15.8% /
19.3%
An international conference under the UN 15.3% / 13.8% / 14.8%
Don't know 6.7% / 5.1% / 6.1%

15-Within the medium term, do you believe that the PA will be able to
survive?
West Bank/ Gaza/ Total
It will definitely survive 34.3% / 42.4% / 37.4%
It is possible that it will survive 28.2% / 20.9% / 25.4%
It is possible that it will collapse 23.4% / 18.9% / 21.7%
It will definitely collapse 6.9% / 8.2% / 7.4%
Not sure 7.2% / 9.6% / 8.1%

16-Do you believe there is a possibility of a third Intifada in the near
future?
West Bank/ Gaza/ Total
Yes 60.1% / 58.9% / 59.6%
No 32.6% / 32.0% / 32.4%
Don't know 7.3% 9.1% 8.0%

17-Would you support a third Intifada at this time?
West Bank/ Gaza/ Total
Yes 27.0% / 32.2% / 29.0%
No 68.0% / 63.1% / 66.2%
Don't know 4.9% / 4.7% / 4.8%

18- Would you participate if a third Intifada erupted?
West Bank/ Gaza/ Total
Yes 28.4% / 35.3% / 31.0%
No 62.1% / 55.3% / 59.5%
Don't know 9.5% / 9.3% / 9.4%

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