PEACE PROJECT SEPTEMBER 2001 SURVEY

The Peace Index Project is conducted by the Tami Steinmetz Center for Peace
Research at Tel Aviv University, headed by Prof. Ephraim Yaar and Dr. Tamar
Hermann and executed by Machshov. Results are shown for the September 23-25,
2001.

The survey details below covers the representative sample of 506 adult
Jewish Israelis

September 2001

1. Do you believe or not believe that in the coming years there will be
peace between Israel and the Arabs?
Certain there will be peace 4.2% Think there will be peace 15.6%
In the middle 12.8% Think there will not be peace 29.1%
Certain there will not be peace 36.6% Do not know/no opinion 1.8%

2. In general, do you consider yourself a supporter or opponent of the peace
process between Israel and the Arabs?
Greatly opposed 10.3% Considerably opposed 7.9%
In the middle 12.3% Considerably supportive 37.0%
Greatly supportive 30.8% Do not know/no opinion 1.8%

3. What is your opinion on the agreement that was signed in Oslo between
Israel and the PLO (Agreement of Principles)?
Heavily in favor 7.1% Considerably in favor 16.6%
In the middle 23.5%
Considerably opposed 12.5% Heavily opposed 33.2%
Do not know/no opinion 7.1%

4. Do you believe or not believe that the Oslo Agreement between Israel and
the PLO will bring about peace between Israel and the Palestinians in the
coming years?
Greatly believe ?% Considerably believe ?% Middle ?%
Considerably do not believe 21.1% Certainly do not believe 50.2%
Do not know/no opinion 3.5%

5. What is your position regarding negotiations between Israel and the
Palestinian Authority?
Heavily in favor 22.5% Considerably in favor 38.5%
Considerably opposed 16.4% Heavily opposed 20.2%
Do not know/no opinion 3.4%

6. Do you believe or do not believe that negotiations between Israel and the
Palestinian Authority will lead in the coming years to peace between Israel
and the Palestinians?
Greatly believe 6.1% Considerably believe 26.1%
Considerably do not believe 28.7% Completely do not believe 36.6%
Do not know 2.5%

7. Do you believe or not believe that in the coming years there will be
peace between Israel and Syria?
Certain there will be peace 3.2% Think there will be peace 15.6%
In the middle 17.0%
Think there will not be peace 31.8%
Certain there will not be peace 27.9%
Don't know/have no opinion 4.5%

6. What is your position regarding support for a full peace treaty between
Israel and Syria in exchange for full withdrawal from the Golan Heights?
Greatly in favor 7.1% Considerably in favor 14.0%
In the middle 11.5%
Considerably opposed 16.6% Greatly opposed 48.0%
Do not know/have no opinion 2.6%

Right now it appears that just as in the Gulf War, the American policy will
be to leave Israel out of the coalition against terror that it is trying to
put together in order to enable the Arab states to join it. In your opinion
does this policy serve Israel's national interests?

57.0% This policy serves Israel's national interests since Israel is
interested in wiping out terror and only a coalition that includes the Arab
states can do this successfully.

32.1% This policy acts against Israel's national interests as it will bring
the US closer to the Arab side

10.9% Do not know

In your opinion is a military operation by such a coalition necessary for
the struggle against radical Islamic terror or is this more an act of
retribution to satisfy the desire of the American public for revenge.

26.3% A military operation of the coalition is needed now for the struggle
against radical Islamic terror
36.6% A military operation now is meant more in order to satisfy the public
desire for revenge.
32.0% Both
5.1% Do not know

To what extent, in your opinion, during the planning of the military
operation against terror, does the coalition have to take into account the
extent of civilian casualties, in Afghanistan, for example, during an aerial
bombing?
A lot 36.6% To an extent 40.7% Not at all 18.4%
Do not know 4.3%

There are those in the world who differentiate between acts of terror of the
type recently carried out in the United States and Palestinian terror,
despite that in both cases innocent civillians were hurt. The claim is that
the Palestinian terror is part of a struggle against the occupation and a
war of national liberation while this is not the case in the kinds of acts
of terror carried out in the US. Do you think that there is a moral basis
for this differentiation?
82.9% No, since all intentional killing of innocent civilians is terror and
morally unacceptable.
9.7% Yes, because from a moral standpoint there are goals, like national
liberation, that justify even the international hurting of innocent
civilians.
4.6% Other 2.8% Do not know

What do you think the chances are that, just as during the Golf War against
Iraq a decade ago, there will again be attacks against Israel if the
coalition headed by the US carries out military operations against nations
that support terror in our region?
High chance 19.8% Considerably high 37.0%
Considerably low chance 25.3% Very low 9.9%
Do not know 7.9%

To what extent did Arafat's declaration of a unilateral cease fire after the
terror incidents in the US reflect a true change or just a political
exercise meant to improve hi position in the eyes of the American
government?
Real change 3.4% Political exercise 92.9% Do not know 3.8%

Do you support or oppose a meeting between Peres and Arafat?
Support a lot 11.3% Considerably support 29.5%
Considerably oppose 17.2% Oppose a lot 36.2%
Do not know 5.7%

How do you think that situation that has developed since the terror
incidents in the United States will effect the advancement of the peace
process between Israel and the Palestinians in the long run?
40.6% Positive effect in long run
16.2% Negative impact in the long run
34.3% No impact at all
8.9% Do not know

With the start of a new year, how would you term the "national mood" today?
Very optimistic 3.2% Considerably optimistic 20.8%
Considerably pessimistic 46.1% Very pessimistic 27.5%
Do not know 2.4%

And how would you term your own mood?
Very optimistic 11.1% Considerably optimistic 32.5%
Considerably pessimistic 33.5% Very pessimistic 20.8%
Do not know 2.2%

How would you term yourself today politically?
Left 10.8% Moderate left 12.3
Center 24.4%
Moderate right 25.6% Right 26.9%

Translated to English by Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director
IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-5480092
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