Observation: Saudi Timeline To Pal Statehood Could Undermine What We Already
Have
Dr. Aaron Lerner 20 November 2025

As I write this there's a convoy of cargo trucks on the way from the Gulf
through Saudi Arabia to Israel in a commercial operation for hot cargo too
heavy to fly.

Civilian jets are also flying over Saudi airspace on their way between
Israel and many destinations.

Behind the scenes there's considerable commerce underway between the two
countries.

And I'm not going to go into other active collaboration.

All of this is without any timeline for a sovereign Palestinian state.

Now some talking heads are suggesting that not such a big deal for there to
be yet another timeline for a Palestinian state.

This time one which is tied to the Saudis.

We've ultimately dodged the bullet with other timelines.

So, indeed, what's the big deal.

Well, I think it is important that convoys of cargo trucks and civilian jets
pass through Saudi Arabia one their way between Israel and other places in
the world.

I think it's important that there's considerable commerce.

And that active collaboration is certainly important.

But if there's a formal timeline for a sovereign Palestinian State and it is
associated with the Saudis there's a good chance that when that timeline
isn't met that the Saudis, due to domestic, regional and even worldwide
pressure, find themselves compelled to not only drop whatever additional
advancements there were in our relations, but also all of the things I've
mentioned above which we had without a timeline.

No timetables please.

Not even one with milestones whose fulfillment we can debate.

For anything we might temporarily gain by a timeline for a sovereign
Palestinian state. we have magnitudes more to lose at the end of it.

________________________________________
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